Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 22/08, 15:00

Prediction: Independiente FBC vs General Caballero JLM

Team pages: Independiente FBC · General Caballero JLM

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Independiente FBC1.37

General Caballero JLM1.88

1X2

26% 26% 48%

Independiente FBC Draw General Caballero JLM

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Independiente FBC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LDDLWDDDWW

General Caballero JLM 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Independiente FBC 0–2–4 General Caballero JLM (6 last)

General Caballero JLM4-2Independiente FBC
Independiente FBC0-1General Caballero JLM
General Caballero JLM0-0Independiente FBC
Independiente FBC1-1General Caballero JLM
General Caballero JLM3-0Independiente FBC
Independiente FBC0-1General Caballero JLM

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Independiente FBC 1537 · General Caballero JLM 1571

	Independiente FBC	Draw	General Caballero JLM
Our model	27%	24%	49%
Market	26%	27%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours General Caballero JLM: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Independiente FBC	General Caballero JLM
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.3	2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.4	1.8 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.1	4.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.50

X3.30

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
23:06 +37’	3.50	3.30	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente FBC 0–2–4 General Caballero JLM

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	General Caballero JLM	4-2 HT 3-2	Independiente FBC
25/08/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Independiente FBC	0-1 HT 0-0	General Caballero JLM
22/05/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia	General Caballero JLM	0-0	Independiente FBC
01/09/19 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Independiente FBC	1-1 HT 0-0	General Caballero JLM
19/05/19 Paraguay Division Intermedia	General Caballero JLM	3-0 HT 1-0	Independiente FBC
05/09/15 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Independiente FBC	0-1	General Caballero JLM

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	19	12	4	3	28	16	40
2	General Caballero JLM	19	12	3	4	41	24	39
3	Deportivo Santaní	19	11	3	5	29	16	36
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	19	10	5	4	30	19	35
5	Sol de America	19	6	11	2	25	17	29
6	Resistencia FC	19	7	7	5	22	22	28
7	Independiente FBC	19	6	8	5	28	26	26
8	Carapegua	19	7	4	8	22	31	25
9	Guairena FC	19	6	5	8	19	23	23
10	Club Atlético Tembetary	19	6	5	8	25	28	23
11	Fernando de la Mora	19	6	5	8	21	28	23
12	Deportivo Capiata	19	5	8	6	24	26	23
13	Paraguari AC	19	5	5	9	19	24	20
14	Tacuary	19	3	9	7	23	31	18
15	Encarnacion FC	19	3	3	13	15	27	12
16	3 de Noviembre	19	1	7	11	17	30	10

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Independiente FBC	General Caballero JLM
Tacuary	2-2 D	4-1 W
Club Atlético Tembetary	2-2 D	3-1 W
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	1-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: General Caballero JLM (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Independiente FBC

LDDLWDDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	7	9	W
11/08	Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Cup	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
07/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
02/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	6	8	D
29/07	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
23/07	Atletico Naciones Unidas Paraguay Cup	5-0	10-0	6	0	W
18/07	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-3	1	7	L
13/07	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-2	2-2	7	2	D
08/07	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-2	2-2	6	6	D
30/06	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	5	2	L

General Caballero JLM

WLLWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	4-1	6	4	W
11/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
31/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
26/07	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-1	0	5	W
18/07	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	2	8	L
14/07	CS Limpeno Paraguay Cup	2-0	2-1	2	4	W
11/07	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	1	1	W
05/07	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
27/06	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-3	7	8	L
09/06	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	8	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Independiente FBC vs General Caballero JLM?

According to our model, the most likely result is an General Caballero JLM win (48%). Probabilities: Independiente FBC 26%, draw 26%, General Caballero JLM 48%.

How many goals are expected in Independiente FBC vs General Caballero JLM?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Independiente FBC 1.37 · General Caballero JLM 1.88), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Independiente FBC vs General Caballero JLM?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.