Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 28/08, 12:30

Prediction: Adelaide Olympic vs Modbury Jets

Team pages: Adelaide Olympic · Modbury Jets

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Adelaide Olympic1.37

Modbury Jets1.42

1X2

36% 27% 38%

Adelaide Olympic Draw Modbury Jets

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Adelaide Olympic 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Modbury Jets 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWDDLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Adelaide Olympic 1–1–4 Modbury Jets (6 last)

Modbury Jets4-1Adelaide Olympic
Adelaide Olympic1-1Modbury Jets
Adelaide Olympic1-4Modbury Jets
Modbury Jets1-0Adelaide Olympic
Modbury Jets3-1Adelaide Olympic
Modbury Jets1-3Adelaide Olympic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Adelaide Olympic 1552 · Modbury Jets 1569

	Adelaide Olympic	Draw	Modbury Jets
Our model	35%	28%	37%
Market	36%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Modbury Jets: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Adelaide Olympic	Modbury Jets
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.9	2.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5	2.1 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.50

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.50▼	Bet365 2.50
X	3.60 → 3.50▼	Bet365 3.50
2	2.10 → 2.35▲	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
06:59 +6’	2.80	3.60	2.10
23:55 +2’	2.50▼	3.50▼	2.35▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide Olympic 1–1–4 Modbury Jets

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Australia South Australia State League 1	Modbury Jets	4-1 HT 1-0	Adelaide Olympic
27/03/26 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Olympic	1-1 HT 1-1	Modbury Jets
22/06/24 Australia South Australia Premier League	Adelaide Olympic	1-4 HT 1-2	Modbury Jets
05/06/24 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	Modbury Jets	1-0 HT 0-0	Adelaide Olympic
30/03/24 Australia South Australia Premier League	Modbury Jets	3-1 HT 1-0	Adelaide Olympic
08/07/23 Australia South Australia Premier League	Modbury Jets	1-3 HT 0-1	Adelaide Olympic

Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	22	15	2	5	56	26	47
2	Modbury Jets	22	13	5	4	46	20	44
3	Adelaide Olympic	22	14	1	7	42	25	43
4	Fulham United FC	22	11	4	7	42	31	37
5	Adelaide Blue Eagles	22	10	6	6	35	28	36
6	Adelaide Atletico	22	11	3	8	40	34	36
7	Cumberland United	22	11	1	10	36	28	34
8	Cove	22	7	5	10	29	36	26
9	Eastern United	22	6	4	12	25	44	22
10	Adelaide Cobras	22	6	2	14	22	45	20
11	Salisbury United	22	5	2	15	27	47	17
12	South Adelaide	22	4	3	15	26	62	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Adelaide Olympic	Modbury Jets
Adelaide Atletico	3-1 W	4-0 W
Cumberland United	2-0 W	1-0 W
Adelaide Cobras	2-0 W	4-0 W
South Adelaide	5-1 W	3-2 W
Salisbury United	1-0 W	3-2 W
Cove	2-0 W	0-0 D
Eastern United	1-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 1 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Adelaide Olympic

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	3-1	2	3	W
15/08	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
08/08	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
01/08	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
24/07	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	2-0	5-1	9	6	W
18/07	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
03/07	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
27/06	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	1-4	4	4	L
20/06	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
12/06	Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	1-2	6	2	L

Modbury Jets

DWDDLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
08/08	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	4-0	2	3	W
01/08	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	2-1	3-2	8	3	W
25/07	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	4-0	2	2	W
18/07	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	3-2	6	3	W
13/07	Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1	1-2	1-3	6	7	L
07/07	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
03/07	Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
27/06	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	4-1	8	4	W
20/06	Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1	1-1	1-1	3	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Adelaide Olympic vs Modbury Jets?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Modbury Jets win (38%). Probabilities: Adelaide Olympic 36%, draw 27%, Modbury Jets 38%.

How many goals are expected in Adelaide Olympic vs Modbury Jets?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Adelaide Olympic 1.37 · Modbury Jets 1.42), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Adelaide Olympic vs Modbury Jets?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.