Football · Spain Copa Federacion · 16/08, 19:00

Prediction: Caudal vs Praviano

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Caudal1.7
Praviano0.88
1X2
56% 25% 19%
Caudal Draw Praviano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Caudal 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WLWDDWWLDL
Praviano 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LWDDWLLWWL
Head-to-head
Caudal 4–2–0 Praviano (6 last)
  • Praviano0-1Caudal
  • Caudal3-1Praviano
  • Praviano0-1Caudal
  • Caudal2-0Praviano
  • Caudal1-1Praviano
  • Praviano1-1Caudal
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Caudal 1532 · Praviano 1488
CaudalDrawPraviano
Our model56%26%18%
Market57%24%19%
Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Caudal (rating 1532 vs 1488).
  • H2H favours Caudal: 4-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CaudalPraviano
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.11.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.30.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)29/57/14%0/80/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.72.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.4 / 0.34.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Caudal 420 Praviano

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/26
Spain Tercera Group 2
Praviano0-1Caudal
07/12/25
Spain Tercera Group 2
Caudal3-1
HT 1-1
Praviano
23/03/25
Spain Tercera Group 2
Praviano0-1
HT 0-0
Caudal
10/11/24
Spain Tercera Group 2
Caudal2-0
HT 2-0
Praviano
11/02/24
Spain Tercera Group 2
Caudal1-1
HT 1-1
Praviano
24/09/23
Spain Tercera Group 2
Praviano1-1Caudal

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCaudalPraviano
Siero 1-2 L 3-2 W
Tuilla 3-1 W 3-1 W
SD Navarro CF 2-1 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Caudal

WLWDDWWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/08 Siero
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-2 34 L
20/06 Club Atletico Central
Spain Tercera - Play-Offs
1-0 1-1 47 D
14/06 Club Atletico Central
Spain Tercera - Play-Offs
0-1 0-2 38 L
07/06 Covadonga
Spain Tercera - Play-Offs
2-0 4-2 56 W
31/05 Covadonga
Spain Tercera - Play-Offs
1-1 2-1 38 W
24/05 Sporting Gijon B
Spain Tercera - Play-Offs
0-0 0-0 69 D
17/05 Sporting Gijon B
Spain Tercera Group 2
0-0 0-0 25 D
10/05 Tuilla
Spain Tercera Group 2
3-1 W
03/05 Siero
Spain Tercera Group 2
0-1 L
26/04 SD Navarro CF
Spain Tercera Group 2
2-1 W

Praviano

LWDDWLLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/05 L'Entregu CF
Spain Tercera Group 2
1-2 L
03/05 CD Colunga
Spain Tercera Group 2
2-0 W
25/04 Mosconia
Spain Tercera Group 2
1-0 W
18/04 UC Ceares
Spain Tercera Group 2
2-3 L
12/04 Caudal
Spain Tercera Group 2
0-1 L
02/04 Siero
Spain Tercera Group 2
2-2 3-2 17 W
29/03 SD Navarro CF
Spain Tercera Group 2
0-0 0-0 76 D
22/03 Gijon Industrial
Spain Tercera Group 2
0-1 1-1 82 D
15/03 Tuilla
Spain Tercera Group 2
1-1 3-1 44 W
08/03 Lenense
Spain Tercera Group 2
0-0 0-1 73 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Caudal vs Praviano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Caudal win (56%). Probabilities: Caudal 56%, draw 25%, Praviano 19%.

How many goals are expected in Caudal vs Praviano?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Caudal 1.7 · Praviano 0.88), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Caudal vs Praviano?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.