Football · Spain Copa Federacion · 16/08, 18:00
Prediction: UP Langreo vs Siero
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
UP Langreo1.68
Siero1.1
1X2
UP Langreo
Draw
Siero
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
UP Langreo
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Siero
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UP Langreo
2–1–0
Siero
(3 last)
- UP Langreo4-0Siero
- Siero0-7UP Langreo
- Siero1-1UP Langreo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UP Langreo 1495 · Siero 1478
| UP Langreo | Draw | Siero | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 26% | 24% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours UP Langreo: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UP Langreo | Siero | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 14/43/43% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.4 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · UP Langreo 2–1–0 Siero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/18 Spain Tercera Group 2 | UP Langreo | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Siero |
| 08/10/17 Spain Tercera Group 2 | Siero | 0-7 | UP Langreo |
| 17/09/16 Spain Tercera Group 2 | Siero | 1-1 HT 0-1 | UP Langreo |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UP Langreo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Marino de Luanco Europe Friendlies |
0-4 | 1-6 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/08 | L'Entregu CF Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | UD Llanera Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Real Oviedo B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Numancia Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | Valladolid Promesas Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 12/04 | UD Samano Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 05/04 | Real Avila Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 28/03 | Salamanca CF UDS Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | SD Sarriana Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
Siero
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Caudal Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | UC Ceares Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Caudal Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Tuilla Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | SD Navarro CF Spain Tercera Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Gijon Industrial Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 02/04 | Praviano Spain Tercera Group 2 |
2-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 28/03 | Lenense Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | El San Martin Spain Tercera Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 15/03 | Covadonga Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UP Langreo vs Siero?
According to our model, the most likely result is a UP Langreo win (50%). Probabilities: UP Langreo 50%, draw 26%, Siero 24%.
How many goals are expected in UP Langreo vs Siero?
The model expects 2.78 goals (UP Langreo 1.68 · Siero 1.1), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in UP Langreo vs Siero?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.