Football · Spain Copa Federacion · 15/08, 10:00

Prediction: Fuenlabrada vs Mexico FC

Team pages: Fuenlabrada · Mexico FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.92Total
Fuenlabrada1.92
Mexico FC0.99
1X2
58% 25% 18%
Fuenlabrada Draw Mexico FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Fuenlabrada 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDWDLLWDLW
Mexico FC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
WDLWDDDLWD
Head-to-head
Fuenlabrada 1–1–0 Mexico FC (2 last)
  • Mexico FC0-2Fuenlabrada
  • Fuenlabrada1-1Mexico FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fuenlabrada 1491 · Mexico FC 1504
FuenlabradaDrawMexico FC
Our model58%24%18%
Market57%26%17%
Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FuenlabradaMexico FC
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.51.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.50.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/80/10%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.52.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.25.3 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fuenlabrada 110 Mexico FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/10/16
Spain Copa Federacion
Mexico FC0-2
HT 0-1
Fuenlabrada
21/09/16
Spain Copa Federacion
Fuenlabrada1-1
HT 1-1
Mexico FC

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fuenlabrada

LDWDLLWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/08 CD Colonia Moscardo
Spain Copa Federacion
1-1 2-1 18 W
03/05 Navalcarnero
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
1-1 1-3 22 L
26/04 Rayo Majadahonda
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-0 0-0 25 D
19/04 Socuéllamos
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-0 3-2 27 W
12/04 RSD Alcala
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-0 0-2 113 L
05/04 CD Quintanar del Rey
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-0 0-1 45 L
28/03 Real Madrid C
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-0 1-1 510 D
22/03 Elche Ilicitano
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
2-1 3-2 26 W
15/03 Getafe B
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-0 0-0 25 D
07/03 UD San Sebastian Reyes
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-2 0-3 42 L

Mexico FC

WDLWDDDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/08 Las Rozas
Spain Copa Federacion
1-0 1-1 44 D
10/05 Leganes B
Spain Tercera Group 7
1-1 2-1 54 W
03/05 Trival Valderas
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-2 0-2 84 L
26/04 Torrejon
Spain Tercera Group 7
1-3 3-3 46 D
18/04 AD Parla
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-2 2-2 410 D
11/04 Alcorcon B
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-0 1-1 04 D
02/04 CD Galapagar
Spain Tercera Group 7
1-0 3-1 49 W
28/03 CDF Tres Cantos
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-0 0-5 75 L
22/03 RCD Carabanchel
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-0 0-0 23 D
14/03 CD Mostoles URJC
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-0 1-0 57 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fuenlabrada vs Mexico FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fuenlabrada win (58%). Probabilities: Fuenlabrada 58%, draw 25%, Mexico FC 18%.

How many goals are expected in Fuenlabrada vs Mexico FC?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Fuenlabrada 1.92 · Mexico FC 0.99), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Fuenlabrada vs Mexico FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.