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Football · Panama LPF · 16/08, 01:15

Prediction: CD Universitario vs Union Cocle

Team pages: CD Universitario · Union Cocle

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.05Total
CD Universitario0.95
Union Cocle1.1
1X2
30% 31% 38%
CD Universitario Draw Union Cocle
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CD Universitario 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLWWLLLLLD
Union Cocle 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDLWDWDLWL
Head-to-head
CD Universitario 1–1–0 Union Cocle (2 last)
  • CD Universitario2-0Union Cocle
  • Union Cocle0-0CD Universitario
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Universitario 1447 · Union Cocle 1484
CD UniversitarioDrawUnion Cocle
Our model29%33%38%
Market31%30%39%
Estimated total (ours) 2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD UniversitarioUnion Cocle
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.80.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.80.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.62.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.9 / 0.15.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Universitario 1–1–0 Union Cocle

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/04/26
Panama LPF
CD Universitario2-0
HT 1-0
Union Cocle
08/02/26
Panama LPF
Union Cocle0-0
HT 0-0
CD Universitario

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, West

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 San Francisco FC 4301 859
2 Veraguas CD 3210 427
3 Herrera FC 3111 234
4 CA Independiente de la Chorrera 4031 453
5 Union Cocle 3102 233
6 CD Universitario 3012 461

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCD UniversitarioUnion Cocle
CA Independiente de la Chorrera 2-2 D 0-0 D
Veraguas CD 1-2 L 0-1 L
San Francisco FC 1-2 L 2-1 W
Herrera FC 2-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Universitario

LLWWLLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/08 CA Independiente de la Chorrera
Panama LPF
 2-0 2-2 56 D
03/08 Veraguas CD
Panama LPF
 1-0 1-2 68 L
26/07 San Francisco FC
Panama LPF
 0-2 1-2 45 L
02/05 San Francisco FC
Panama LPF
 2-4 2-5 98 L
26/04 CA Independiente de la Chorrera
Panama LPF
 0-1 2-3 46 L
19/04 Veraguas CD
Panama LPF
 0-0 0-1 65 L
13/04 Union Cocle
Panama LPF
 1-0 2-0 29 W
07/04 Herrera FC
Panama LPF
 2-0 2-0 72 W
28/03 Tauro FC
Panama LPF
 0-1 0-2 105 L
22/03 CD Arabe Unido
Panama LPF
 0-0 0-1 36 L

Union Cocle

LDLWDWDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Veraguas CD
Panama LPF
 0-0 0-1 85 L
02/08 San Francisco FC
Panama LPF
 2-1 2-1 23 W
26/07 Herrera FC
Panama LPF
 0-1 0-1 210 L
06/05 UMECIT
Panama LPF
 0-0 1-1 34 D
02/05 Herrera FC
Panama LPF
 2-0 4-0 67 W
26/04 Veraguas CD
Panama LPF
 0-1 1-1 67 D
19/04 San Francisco FC
Panama LPF
 1-0 1-0 34 W
13/04 CD Universitario
Panama LPF
 0-1 0-2 79 L
05/04 CA Independiente de la Chorrera
Panama LPF
 0-0 0-0 74 D
29/03 Plaza Amador
Panama LPF
 0-0 0-1 65 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Universitario vs Union Cocle?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Union Cocle win (38%). Probabilities: CD Universitario 30%, draw 31%, Union Cocle 38%.

How many goals are expected in CD Universitario vs Union Cocle?

The model expects 2.05 goals (CD Universitario 0.95 · Union Cocle 1.1), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Universitario vs Union Cocle?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.