Football · Panama LPF · 25/08, 03:00

Prediction: Alianza FC Panama vs Tauro FC

Team pages: Alianza FC Panama · Tauro FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Alianza FC Panama1.34
Tauro FC1.14
1X2
40% 29% 31%
Alianza FC Panama Draw Tauro FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Alianza FC Panama 2-7-1 (W-D-L)
DWDDDDDWDL
Tauro FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WLWDLLDDLL
Head-to-head
Alianza FC Panama 3–2–1 Tauro FC (6 last)
  • Tauro FC1-1Alianza FC Panama
  • Alianza FC Panama1-1Tauro FC
  • Alianza FC Panama2-1Tauro FC
  • Tauro FC2-1Alianza FC Panama
  • Alianza FC Panama1-0Tauro FC
  • Tauro FC1-2Alianza FC Panama
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alianza FC Panama 1508 · Tauro FC 1450
Alianza FC PanamaDrawTauro FC
Our model40%29%30%
Market41%28%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alianza FC Panama (rating 1508 vs 1450).
  • H2H favours Alianza FC Panama: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Alianza FC PanamaTauro FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.31.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.50.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.82.4 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.16.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alianza FC Panama 321 Tauro FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/04/26
Panama LPF
Tauro FC1-1
HT 1-0
Alianza FC Panama
19/01/26
Panama LPF
Alianza FC Panama1-1
HT 1-0
Tauro FC
11/10/25
Panama LPF
Alianza FC Panama2-1
HT 0-0
Tauro FC
21/07/25
Panama LPF
Tauro FC2-1
HT 1-1
Alianza FC Panama
27/04/25
Panama LPF
Alianza FC Panama1-0
HT 0-0
Tauro FC
28/01/25
Panama LPF
Tauro FC1-2
HT 0-2
Alianza FC Panama

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, East

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Plaza Amador 4310 11610
2 CD Arabe Unido 5221 438
3 Alianza FC Panama 4121 345
4 Sporting San Miguelito 5122 135
5 UMECIT 4031 123
6 Tauro FC 4022 352

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAlianza FC PanamaTauro FC
Plaza Amador 2-4 L 2-3 L
Sporting San Miguelito 0-0 D 0-0 D
CD Arabe Unido 1-0 W 0-1 L
UMECIT 0-0 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 1 L 0 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alianza FC Panama

DWDDDDDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/08 Plaza Amador
Panama LPF
1-3 2-4 56 L
10/08 Sporting San Miguelito
Panama LPF
0-0 0-0 14 D
01/08 CD Arabe Unido
Panama LPF
1-0 1-0 35 W
26/07 UMECIT
Panama LPF
0-0 0-0 11 D
24/05 Plaza Amador
Panama LPF
1-1 2-2 76 D
17/05 Veraguas CD
Panama LPF
0-0 1-1 22 D
10/05 Veraguas CD
Panama LPF
0-0 0-0 44 D
06/05 CA Independiente de la Chorrera
Panama LPF
1-0 2-2 75 D
03/05 Sporting San Miguelito
Panama LPF
1-1 3-2 50 W
26/04 CD Arabe Unido
Panama LPF
2-0 2-2 36 D

Tauro FC

WLWDLLDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/08 CD Arabe Unido
Panama LPF
0-1 0-1 68 L
09/08 Plaza Amador
Panama LPF
1-2 2-3 66 L
02/08 UMECIT
Panama LPF
0-1 1-1 59 D
28/07 Sporting San Miguelito
Panama LPF
0-0 0-0 96 D
03/05 UMECIT
Panama LPF
2-2 2-5 55 L
26/04 Sporting San Miguelito
Panama LPF
0-1 0-2 114 L
18/04 Alianza FC Panama
Panama LPF
1-0 1-1 36 D
11/04 CD Arabe Unido
Panama LPF
0-0 4-0 07 W
05/04 Plaza Amador
Panama LPF
0-0 0-1 78 L
28/03 CD Universitario
Panama LPF
1-0 2-0 65 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alianza FC Panama vs Tauro FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Alianza FC Panama win (40%). Probabilities: Alianza FC Panama 40%, draw 29%, Tauro FC 31%.

How many goals are expected in Alianza FC Panama vs Tauro FC?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Alianza FC Panama 1.34 · Tauro FC 1.14), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Alianza FC Panama vs Tauro FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.