Football · Panama LPF · 23/08, 23:00

Prediction: Herrera FC vs CD Universitario

Team pages: Herrera FC · CD Universitario

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

Herrera FC1.14

CD Universitario1.49

1X2

28% 28% 44%

Herrera FC Draw CD Universitario

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Herrera FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLWDLD

CD Universitario 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLLLDD

Head-to-head

Herrera FC 0–5–1 CD Universitario (6 last)

CD Universitario2-0Herrera FC
Herrera FC1-1CD Universitario
CD Universitario1-1Herrera FC
Herrera FC0-0CD Universitario
CD Universitario1-1Herrera FC
Herrera FC0-0CD Universitario

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Herrera FC 1443 · CD Universitario 1453

	Herrera FC	Draw	CD Universitario
Our model	28%	28%	44%
Market	28%	28%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Herrera FC	CD Universitario
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.9	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.2	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.8	2.6 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.3	6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.20

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.25▲	Pinn 3.40 ★
X	3.10 → 3.20▲	Pinn 3.21
2	2.20 → 2.05▼	Pinn 2.06

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.8% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:54 +5’	3.00	3.10	2.20
12:54 +6’	3.25▲	3.20▲	2.05▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:44 +1’	3.27	3.19	2.12
12:52 +8’	3.40▲	3.21▲	2.06▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Herrera FC 0–5–1 CD Universitario

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/04/26 Panama LPF	CD Universitario	2-0 HT 2-0	Herrera FC
01/02/26 Panama LPF	Herrera FC	1-1 HT 0-1	CD Universitario
08/11/25 Panama LPF	CD Universitario	1-1 HT 0-0	Herrera FC
17/08/25 Panama LPF	Herrera FC	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Universitario
27/04/25 Panama LPF	CD Universitario	1-1 HT 1-1	Herrera FC
26/01/25 Panama LPF	Herrera FC	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Universitario

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Francisco FC	4	3	0	1	8	5	9
2	Veraguas CD	4	2	2	0	6	4	8
3	Herrera FC	4	1	2	1	4	5	5
4	Union Cocle	4	1	1	2	3	4	4
5	CA Independiente de la Chorrera	4	0	3	1	4	5	3
6	CD Universitario	4	0	2	2	5	7	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Herrera FC	CD Universitario
Veraguas CD	2-2 D	1-2 L
San Francisco FC	1-3 L	1-2 L
CA Independiente de la Chorrera	0-0 D	2-2 D
Union Cocle	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Herrera FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Herrera FC

LLLDLLWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	2-2	2-2	5	6	D
08/08	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	0-2	1-3	3	6	L
04/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
26/07	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	7	10	W
02/05	Union Cocle Panama LPF	0-2	0-4	5	7	L
26/04	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
21/04	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	0-1	2-2	5	3	D
12/04	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	0-1	1-2	2	18	L
07/04	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-2	0-2	9	2	L
29/03	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-1	1-2	1	3	L

CD Universitario

LWWLLLLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Union Cocle Panama LPF	0-0	1-1	8	7	D
11/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	2-0	2-2	5	6	D
03/08	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	1-0	1-2	6	8	L
26/07	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	0-2	1-2	4	5	L
02/05	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	2-4	2-5	9	8	L
26/04	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	0-1	2-3	4	6	L
19/04	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
13/04	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	2	9	W
07/04	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
28/03	Tauro FC Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	10	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Herrera FC vs CD Universitario?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Universitario win (44%). Probabilities: Herrera FC 28%, draw 28%, CD Universitario 44%.

How many goals are expected in Herrera FC vs CD Universitario?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Herrera FC 1.14 · CD Universitario 1.49), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Herrera FC vs CD Universitario?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.