Football · Panama LPF · 22/08, 03:30

Prediction: CD Arabe Unido vs Sporting San Miguelito

Team pages: CD Arabe Unido · Sporting San Miguelito

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.87Total

CD Arabe Unido0.99

Sporting San Miguelito0.87

1X2

37% 32% 31%

CD Arabe Unido Draw Sporting San Miguelito

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

CD Arabe Unido 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDDLDLDW

Sporting San Miguelito 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLDLDW

Head-to-head

CD Arabe Unido 3–2–1 Sporting San Miguelito (6 last)

CD Arabe Unido1-0Sporting San Miguelito
Sporting San Miguelito0-2CD Arabe Unido
Sporting San Miguelito0-0CD Arabe Unido
CD Arabe Unido0-0Sporting San Miguelito
Sporting San Miguelito1-0CD Arabe Unido
CD Arabe Unido2-1Sporting San Miguelito

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Arabe Unido 1504 · Sporting San Miguelito 1455

	CD Arabe Unido	Draw	Sporting San Miguelito
Our model	36%	35%	29%
Market	38%	30%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 1.87 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Arabe Unido (rating 1504 vs 1455).
H2H favours CD Arabe Unido: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Arabe Unido	Sporting San Miguelito
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.3	0.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4	2.4 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.2 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.00

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.73

2 (0)2.08

Line ⓘ

Over 22.02

Under 21.77

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Pinn 2.47
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.88 → 2.88	Pinn 3.22 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.2% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
23:25 +2’	2.38	3.00	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:25 +1’	2.54	2.84	2.89
01:57	2.44▼	2.91▲	2.96▲
04:43 +1’	2.38▼	2.90▼	3.07▲
10:54	2.39▲	2.82▼	3.13▲
00:19 +8’	2.44▲	2.73▼	3.17▲
02:01	2.47▲	2.76▲	3.22▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Arabe Unido 3–2–1 Sporting San Miguelito

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Panama LPF	CD Arabe Unido	1-0 HT 0-0	Sporting San Miguelito
02/02/26 Panama LPF	Sporting San Miguelito	0-2 HT 0-1	CD Arabe Unido
26/10/25 Panama LPF	Sporting San Miguelito	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Arabe Unido
11/08/25 Panama LPF	CD Arabe Unido	0-0 HT 0-0	Sporting San Miguelito
14/04/25 Panama LPF	Sporting San Miguelito	1-0 HT 1-0	CD Arabe Unido
08/02/25 Panama LPF	CD Arabe Unido	2-1 HT 1-1	Sporting San Miguelito

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, East

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Plaza Amador	4	3	1	0	11	6	10
2	CD Arabe Unido	5	2	2	1	4	3	8
3	Alianza FC Panama	4	1	2	1	3	4	5
4	Sporting San Miguelito	5	1	2	2	1	3	5
5	UMECIT	4	0	3	1	1	2	3
6	Tauro FC	4	0	2	2	3	5	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Arabe Unido	Sporting San Miguelito
Tauro FC	1-0 W	0-0 D
UMECIT	0-0 D	1-0 W
Alianza FC Panama	0-1 L	0-0 D
Plaza Amador	2-2 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Arabe Unido

WWLDDLDLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/08	Tauro FC Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	4	8	W
09/08	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	7	8	D
01/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
25/07	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	2-0	2-2	1	6	D
03/05	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-0	0-3	2	6	L
26/04	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-2	2-2	4	6	D
19/04	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
11/04	Tauro FC Panama LPF	0-0	0-4	5	7	L
06/04	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
31/03	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	6	9	W

Sporting San Miguelito

LLDLWLDLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
10/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
02/08	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
28/07	Tauro FC Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
03/05	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	1-1	2-3	1	0	L
26/04	Tauro FC Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
20/04	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-2	0-3	5	7	L
14/04	UMECIT Panama LPF	1-0	2-2	2	12	D
06/04	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
30/03	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	10	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Arabe Unido vs Sporting San Miguelito?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Arabe Unido win (37%). Probabilities: CD Arabe Unido 37%, draw 32%, Sporting San Miguelito 31%.

How many goals are expected in CD Arabe Unido vs Sporting San Miguelito?

The model expects 1.87 goals (CD Arabe Unido 0.99 · Sporting San Miguelito 0.87), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Arabe Unido vs Sporting San Miguelito?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.