Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 16/08, 23:00
Prediction: Suchitepequez vs Marquense
Team pages: Suchitepequez · Marquense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Suchitepequez1.57
Marquense0.88
1X2
Suchitepequez
Draw
Marquense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Suchitepequez
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Marquense
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Suchitepequez
3–3
Marquense
(6 last)
- Suchitepequez2-1Marquense
- Marquense1-0Suchitepequez
- Marquense3-0Suchitepequez
- Suchitepequez2-0Marquense
- Marquense2-1Suchitepequez
- Suchitepequez2-1Marquense
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Suchitepequez 1513 · Marquense 1447
| Suchitepequez | Draw | Marquense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 28% | 20% |
| Market | 51% | 30% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Suchitepequez (rating 1513 vs 1447).
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Suchitepequez | Marquense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4 | 0.7 / 2.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.5 | 5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Suchitepequez 3–0–3 Marquense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/24 Guatemala Primera Division | Suchitepequez | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Marquense |
| 13/05/24 Guatemala Primera Division | Marquense | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Suchitepequez |
| 07/03/24 Guatemala Primera Division | Marquense | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Suchitepequez |
| 22/01/24 Guatemala Primera Division | Suchitepequez | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Marquense |
| 08/11/23 Guatemala Primera Division | Marquense | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Suchitepequez |
| 14/09/23 Guatemala Primera Division | Suchitepequez | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Marquense |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSD Municipal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Antigua GFC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Guastatoya | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Deportivo San Pedro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Deportivo Mixco | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Xelaju | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | CSD Comunicaciones | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Aurora | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | Malacateco | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| 10 | Coban Imperial | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 11 | Suchitepequez | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| 12 | Marquense | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Suchitepequez
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 27/07 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division |
3-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 10 | W |
Marquense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 03/08 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 12 | L |
| 01/05 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 15/04 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Mictlán Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/04 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Suchitepequez vs Marquense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Suchitepequez win (52%). Probabilities: Suchitepequez 52%, draw 29%, Marquense 19%.
How many goals are expected in Suchitepequez vs Marquense?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Suchitepequez 1.57 · Marquense 0.88), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Suchitepequez vs Marquense?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.