Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 24/08, 02:00

Prediction: Marquense vs Coban Imperial

Team pages: Marquense · Coban Imperial

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.59Total

Marquense1.45

Coban Imperial1.14

1X2

43% 29% 28%

Marquense Draw Coban Imperial

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Marquense 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WWLLDLLLLW

Coban Imperial 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLWLDLWL

Head-to-head

Marquense 3–3 Coban Imperial (6 last)

Marquense3-1Coban Imperial
Coban Imperial2-0Marquense
Coban Imperial3-0Marquense
Marquense1-0Coban Imperial
Coban Imperial3-0Marquense
Marquense2-0Coban Imperial

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marquense 1460 · Coban Imperial 1481

	Marquense	Draw	Coban Imperial
Our model	43%	29%	28%
Market	43%	29%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Marquense	Coban Imperial
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.7	1.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 2.9	2.2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.4	6.8 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.10

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.23
2	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.52 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
21:34 +4’	2.10	3.10	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:24 +14’	2.07	3.18	3.38
00:22 +2’	2.01▼	3.23▲	3.52▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Marquense 3–0–3 Coban Imperial

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
19/03/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional	Marquense	3-1 HT 2-1	Coban Imperial
27/01/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional	Coban Imperial	2-0 HT 1-0	Marquense
19/10/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional	Coban Imperial	3-0 HT 1-0	Marquense
11/08/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional	Marquense	1-0 HT 0-0	Coban Imperial
22/03/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional	Coban Imperial	3-0 HT 1-0	Marquense
07/02/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional	Marquense	2-0 HT 2-0	Coban Imperial

Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Antigua GFC	3	3	0	0	7	1	9
2	Guastatoya	4	3	0	1	6	2	9
2	CSD Municipal	4	3	0	1	6	2	9
2	Deportivo San Pedro	4	3	0	1	6	2	9
5	CSD Comunicaciones	4	2	1	1	6	5	7
6	Deportivo Mixco	4	2	0	2	5	5	6
7	Xelaju	3	1	1	1	5	4	4
8	Coban Imperial	4	1	1	2	4	7	4
9	Aurora	4	1	0	3	5	7	3
10	Marquense	4	1	0	3	4	7	3
11	Malacateco	4	0	2	2	5	11	2
12	Suchitepequez	4	0	1	3	1	7	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Marquense	Coban Imperial
Deportivo Mixco	0-1 L	3-2 W
CSD Municipal	1-2 L	0-2 L
Antigua GFC	1-3 L	0-2 L
Xelaju	0-2 L	1-2 L
Guastatoya	0-4 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Coban Imperial (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marquense

WWLLDLLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-1	2-1	8	9	W
08/08	Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-1	0	8	L
03/08	CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-2	1-2	5	3	L
25/07	Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	1-3	3	4	L
04/05	Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-2	0-2	2	12	L
01/05	Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
26/04	Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-3	0-4	1	3	L
19/04	CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	1-3	3	5	L
15/04	Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
12/04	Mictlán Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	3-0	3	4	W

Coban Imperial

DLWLWLDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-2	2	9	L
15/08	Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	3-2	8	9	W
10/08	CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
26/07	Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	1-1	0	6	D
02/05	Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-2	3	11	L
29/04	Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional	2-0	2-0	4	5	W
26/04	Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
19/04	CD Achuapa Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-1	3-1	6	4	W
17/04	Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-2	4	10	L
12/04	Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	1-1	6	12	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marquense vs Coban Imperial?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Marquense win (43%). Probabilities: Marquense 43%, draw 29%, Coban Imperial 28%.

How many goals are expected in Marquense vs Coban Imperial?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Marquense 1.45 · Coban Imperial 1.14), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Marquense vs Coban Imperial?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.