Prediction: Malacateco vs Deportivo San Pedro
Team pages: Malacateco · Deportivo San Pedro
| Malacateco | Draw | Deportivo San Pedro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 23% | 8% |
| Market | 71% | 19% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo San Pedro (rating 1471 vs 1547).
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Malacateco | Deportivo San Pedro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 2.3 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.6 |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Guastatoya | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | CSD Municipal | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Deportivo San Pedro | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | CSD Comunicaciones | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Deportivo Mixco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Xelaju | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Coban Imperial | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 9 | Aurora | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 10 | Marquense | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 11 | Malacateco | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 2 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Malacateco | Deportivo San Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| CSD Comunicaciones | 2-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Xelaju | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo San Pedro (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Malacateco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 26/07 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 20/04 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 13/04 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
Deportivo San Pedro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 25/07 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Coatepeque FC Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 22/04 | Coatepeque FC Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Malacateco vs Deportivo San Pedro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Malacateco win (70%). Probabilities: Malacateco 70%, draw 21%, Deportivo San Pedro 10%.
How many goals are expected in Malacateco vs Deportivo San Pedro?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Malacateco 1.75 · Deportivo San Pedro 0.46), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Malacateco vs Deportivo San Pedro?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.