Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 22/08, 23:00
Prediction: Aurora vs Suchitepequez
Team pages: Aurora · Suchitepequez
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.17Total
Aurora1.28
Suchitepequez0.89
1X2
Aurora
Draw
Suchitepequez
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Aurora
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Suchitepequez
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aurora
2–2–2
Suchitepequez
(6 last)
- Suchitepequez1-1Aurora
- Aurora1-1Suchitepequez
- Suchitepequez0-1Aurora
- Aurora0-1Suchitepequez
- Suchitepequez2-0Aurora
- Aurora2-1Suchitepequez
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aurora 1430 · Suchitepequez 1485
| Aurora | Draw | Suchitepequez | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 31% | 25% |
| Market | 46% | 28% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Suchitepequez (rating 1430 vs 1485).
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aurora | Suchitepequez | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.6 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.8 | 1.4 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 1.1 | 5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aurora 2–2–2 Suchitepequez
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/24 Guatemala Primera Division | Suchitepequez | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Aurora |
| 02/05/24 Guatemala Primera Division | Aurora | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Suchitepequez |
| 19/11/23 Guatemala Primera Division | Suchitepequez | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Aurora |
| 16/11/23 Guatemala Primera Division | Aurora | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Suchitepequez |
| 14/05/23 Guatemala Primera Division | Suchitepequez | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Aurora |
| 12/05/23 Guatemala Primera Division | Aurora | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Suchitepequez |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Guastatoya | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | CSD Municipal | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Deportivo San Pedro | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | CSD Comunicaciones | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Deportivo Mixco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Xelaju | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Coban Imperial | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 9 | Aurora | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 10 | Marquense | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 11 | Malacateco | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 2 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aurora | Suchitepequez |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo San Pedro | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Mixco | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Marquense | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Aurora (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aurora
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 04/08 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 25/07 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Mictlán Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 19/04 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/04 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 04/04 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 01/04 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
Suchitepequez
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 09/08 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 27/07 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division |
3-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aurora vs Suchitepequez?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aurora win (45%). Probabilities: Aurora 45%, draw 29%, Suchitepequez 26%.
How many goals are expected in Aurora vs Suchitepequez?
The model expects 2.17 goals (Aurora 1.28 · Suchitepequez 0.89), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Aurora vs Suchitepequez?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.