Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 03/09, 20:30
Prediction: Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Bialystok
Team pages: Lech Poznan · Jagiellonia Bialystok
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
Lech Poznan1.71
Jagiellonia Bialystok1.31
1X2
Lech Poznan
Draw
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Lech Poznan
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Jagiellonia Bialystok
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lech Poznan
2–3–1
Jagiellonia Bialystok
(6 last)
- Jagiellonia Bialystok0-0Lech Poznan
- Lech Poznan2-2Jagiellonia Bialystok
- Jagiellonia Bialystok2-1Lech Poznan
- Lech Poznan5-0Jagiellonia Bialystok
- Jagiellonia Bialystok1-2Lech Poznan
- Lech Poznan3-3Jagiellonia Bialystok
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Lech Poznan: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lech Poznan | Jagiellonia Bialystok | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.8 | 2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.2 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 7.3 | 2.5 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lech Poznan 2–3–1 Jagiellonia Bialystok
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Poland Ekstraklasa | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lech Poznan |
| 28/09/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Lech Poznan | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 16/03/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Lech Poznan |
| 14/09/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Lech Poznan | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 17/02/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Lech Poznan |
| 24/10/23 Poland Ekstraklasa | Lech Poznan | 3-3 HT 2-0 | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warsaw | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Wisla Krakow | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
| 4 | GKS Katowice | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | Gornik Zabrze | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Pogon Szczecin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Zaglebie Lubin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 10 | Cracovia Krakow | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 7 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 7 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 6 |
| 14 | Slask Wroclaw | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 15 | Motor Lublin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
| 16 | Wisla Plock | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 4 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Krakow | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 3 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lech Poznan | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
|---|---|---|
| Widzew Lodz | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Arka Gdynia | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Motor Lublin | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Pogon Szczecin | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lech Poznan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | Arka Gdynia Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
4-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
Jagiellonia Bialystok
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 31/07 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | Arka Gdynia Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lech Poznan win (46%). Probabilities: Lech Poznan 46%, draw 26%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 28%.
How many goals are expected in Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
The model expects 3.03 goals (Lech Poznan 1.71 · Jagiellonia Bialystok 1.31), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.