Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 11/09, 18:00
Prediction: Rakow Czestochowa vs Motor Lublin
Team pages: Rakow Czestochowa · Motor Lublin
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.19Total
Rakow Czestochowa1.85
Motor Lublin1.34
1X2
Rakow Czestochowa
Draw
Motor Lublin
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Rakow Czestochowa
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Motor Lublin
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rakow Czestochowa
3–2–0
Motor Lublin
(5 last)
- Motor Lublin1-1Rakow Czestochowa
- Rakow Czestochowa2-0Motor Lublin
- Rakow Czestochowa2-2Motor Lublin
- Motor Lublin0-2Rakow Czestochowa
- Motor Lublin0-3Rakow Czestochowa
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Rakow Czestochowa: 3-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rakow Czestochowa | Motor Lublin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4 | 2.3 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rakow Czestochowa 3–2–0 Motor Lublin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Poland Ekstraklasa | Motor Lublin | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Rakow Czestochowa |
| 05/10/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Rakow Czestochowa | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Motor Lublin |
| 07/12/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Rakow Czestochowa | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Motor Lublin |
| 21/07/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Motor Lublin | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Rakow Czestochowa |
| 01/03/23 Poland Cup | Motor Lublin | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Rakow Czestochowa |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warsaw | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Wisla Krakow | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 11 |
| 5 | Piast Gliwice | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 10 |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 9 |
| 7 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 10 | Zaglebie Lubin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 11 | Cracovia Krakow | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 8 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 14 | Slask Wroclaw | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 15 | Motor Lublin | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 5 |
| 16 | Wisla Plock | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 4 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Krakow | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 3 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rakow Czestochowa | Motor Lublin |
|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | 2-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Cracovia Krakow | 1-2 L | 3-3 D |
| Wisla Plock | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Piast Gliwice | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Korona Kielce | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Motor Lublin (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rakow Czestochowa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Arka Gdynia Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
3-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 13/05 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Lechia Gdansk Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Motor Lublin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 16/08 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 31/07 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rakow Czestochowa vs Motor Lublin?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rakow Czestochowa win (48%). Probabilities: Rakow Czestochowa 48%, draw 25%, Motor Lublin 27%.
How many goals are expected in Rakow Czestochowa vs Motor Lublin?
The model expects 3.19 goals (Rakow Czestochowa 1.85 · Motor Lublin 1.34), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Rakow Czestochowa vs Motor Lublin?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.