Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 07/09, 20:30

Prediction: Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock

Team pages: Pogon Szczecin · Wisla Plock

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

Pogon Szczecin1.59

Wisla Plock0.94

1X2

51% 28% 21%

Pogon Szczecin Draw Wisla Plock

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Pogon Szczecin 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWDLWWDD

Wisla Plock 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWDLLL

Head-to-head

Pogon Szczecin 2–1–3 Wisla Plock (6 last)

Pogon Szczecin3-0Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock2-0Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock0-1Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin2-2Wisla Plock
Pogon Szczecin1-2Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock1-0Pogon Szczecin

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pogon Szczecin (rating 1521 vs 1479).
H2H favours Wisla Plock: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pogon Szczecin	Wisla Plock
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.9	0.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.1	2.2 / 7.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.01

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:51

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.94 → 1.94	Pinn 1.94
X	3.63 → 3.63	Pinn 3.63
2	3.73 → 3.73	Pinn 3.73

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:50 +1’	1.94	3.63	3.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pogon Szczecin 2–1–3 Wisla Plock

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Poland Ekstraklasa	Pogon Szczecin	3-0 HT 1-0	Wisla Plock
03/11/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Wisla Plock	2-0 HT 1-0	Pogon Szczecin
26/02/23 Poland Ekstraklasa	Wisla Plock	0-1 HT 0-0	Pogon Szczecin
13/08/22 Poland Ekstraklasa	Pogon Szczecin	2-2 HT 1-0	Wisla Plock
08/04/22 Poland Ekstraklasa	Pogon Szczecin	1-2 HT 1-1	Wisla Plock
17/10/21 Poland Ekstraklasa	Wisla Plock	1-0 HT 0-0	Pogon Szczecin

Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Legia Warsaw	6	3	3	0	12	4	12
2	Lech Poznan	4	3	1	0	8	3	10
3	Wisla Krakow	6	3	1	2	12	10	10
4	GKS Katowice	5	3	0	2	12	6	9
5	Gornik Zabrze	4	3	0	1	9	6	9
6	Jagiellonia Bialystok	4	3	0	1	8	5	9
7	Pogon Szczecin	5	2	2	1	7	4	8
8	Korona Kielce	5	2	2	1	6	4	8
9	Zaglebie Lubin	5	2	2	1	5	4	8
10	Cracovia Krakow	6	2	2	2	6	7	8
11	Piast Gliwice	6	2	1	3	10	13	7
12	Radomiak Radom	6	2	1	3	6	13	7
13	Widzew Lodz	6	1	3	2	10	10	6
14	Slask Wroclaw	6	1	3	2	8	9	6
15	Motor Lublin	6	1	2	3	6	10	5
16	Wisla Plock	5	1	1	3	3	10	4
17	Wieczysta Krakow	5	1	0	4	8	12	3
18	Rakow Czestochowa	4	0	0	4	5	11	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pogon Szczecin	Wisla Plock
Wisla Krakow	2-2 D	1-2 L
Motor Lublin	3-1 W	0-4 L
GKS Katowice	1-1 D	0-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Pogon Szczecin (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pogon Szczecin

DWLWDLWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
23/08	Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	2-2	2-2	2	5	D
08/08	Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa	2-0	3-1	2	3	W
03/08	Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
24/07	Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
23/05	GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
15/05	Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
09/05	Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa	1-2	2-3	0	1	L
03/05	Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
25/04	Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	1-1	0	7	D

Wisla Plock

LLLLDWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	0-2	10	1	L
23/08	GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa	0-2	0-5	11	2	L
07/08	Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	1-2	1-2	10	3	L
31/07	Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
26/07	Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
23/05	Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	2-2	6	3	D
16/05	Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
10/05	Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-2	0-4	7	4	L
03/05	Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	0-3	9	3	L
26/04	Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-1	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pogon Szczecin win (51%). Probabilities: Pogon Szczecin 51%, draw 28%, Wisla Plock 21%.

How many goals are expected in Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Pogon Szczecin 1.59 · Wisla Plock 0.94), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.