Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 13/09, 12:15

Prediction: Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow

Team pages: Wisla Plock · Cracovia Krakow

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.22Total

Wisla Plock1.12

Cracovia Krakow1.09

1X2

36% 30% 34%

Wisla Plock Draw Cracovia Krakow

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Wisla Plock 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDWDLLLD

Cracovia Krakow 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDDDLDWWLL

Head-to-head

Wisla Plock 3–1–2 Cracovia Krakow (6 last)

Cracovia Krakow1-2Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock0-0Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow3-0Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock1-0Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow3-0Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock2-1Cracovia Krakow

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wisla Plock 1496 · Cracovia Krakow 1489

	Wisla Plock	Draw	Cracovia Krakow
Our model	35%	32%	33%
Market	37%	28%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Wisla Plock: 3-1-2.
High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wisla Plock	Cracovia Krakow
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2.1	1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.9	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	0/90/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 7.3	3.2 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.25

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.38
2	2.60 → 2.60	Pinn 2.86 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.2% Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:52 +1’	2.50	3.25	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:52 +36’	2.71	3.34	2.52
21:44 +71’	2.74▲	3.38▲	2.54▲
15:19 +41’	2.43▼	3.38	2.88▲
21:20 +86’	2.44▲	3.38	2.86▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wisla Plock 3–1–2 Cracovia Krakow

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Poland Ekstraklasa	Cracovia Krakow	1-2 HT 0-0	Wisla Plock
04/12/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Wisla Plock	0-0 HT 0-0	Cracovia Krakow
27/05/23 Poland Ekstraklasa	Cracovia Krakow	3-0 HT 1-0	Wisla Plock
11/11/22 Poland Ekstraklasa	Wisla Plock	1-0 HT 0-0	Cracovia Krakow
13/05/22 Poland Ekstraklasa	Cracovia Krakow	3-0 HT 2-0	Wisla Plock
28/11/21 Poland Ekstraklasa	Wisla Plock	2-1 HT 2-0	Cracovia Krakow

Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	6	5	1	0	11	4	16
2	Legia Warsaw	7	4	3	0	15	6	15
3	Gornik Zabrze	6	5	0	1	12	7	15
4	Jagiellonia Bialystok	6	4	0	2	11	8	12
5	Wisla Krakow	7	3	2	2	13	11	11
6	Piast Gliwice	7	3	1	3	13	13	10
7	GKS Katowice	6	3	0	3	12	9	9
8	Pogon Szczecin	6	2	3	1	8	5	9
9	Korona Kielce	6	2	3	1	7	5	9
10	Zaglebie Lubin	6	2	3	1	6	5	9
11	Cracovia Krakow	7	2	2	3	6	8	8
12	Radomiak Radom	7	2	2	3	6	13	8
13	Widzew Lodz	7	1	4	2	10	10	7
14	Slask Wroclaw	7	1	3	3	9	11	6
15	Motor Lublin	7	1	2	4	8	13	5
16	Wisla Plock	6	1	2	3	4	11	5
17	Wieczysta Krakow	6	1	1	4	9	13	4
18	Rakow Czestochowa	6	0	0	6	6	14	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wisla Plock	Cracovia Krakow
Pogon Szczecin	1-1 D	0-2 L
Korona Kielce	0-2 L	1-1 D
Rakow Czestochowa	2-1 W	2-1 W
Lech Poznan	2-2 D	0-0 D
Gornik Zabrze	0-1 L	0-1 L
Motor Lublin	0-4 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Cracovia Krakow (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wisla Plock

LLLDWDLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/09	Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
28/08	Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	0-2	10	1	L
23/08	GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa	0-2	0-5	11	2	L
07/08	Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	1-2	1-2	10	3	L
31/07	Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
26/07	Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
23/05	Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	2-2	6	3	D
16/05	Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
10/05	Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-2	0-4	7	4	L
03/05	Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	0-3	9	3	L

Cracovia Krakow

DDDDLDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
29/08	Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-2	10	3	L
21/08	Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	3-2	9	1	W
16/08	Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	2-1	7	1	W
09/08	Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
03/08	Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-2	6	3	L
25/07	Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
23/05	Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	1-1	3	0	D
16/05	Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	3-3	7	7	D
11/05	Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	5	10	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wisla Plock win (36%). Probabilities: Wisla Plock 36%, draw 30%, Cracovia Krakow 34%.

How many goals are expected in Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow?

The model expects 2.22 goals (Wisla Plock 1.12 · Cracovia Krakow 1.09), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.