Prediction: Apia L Tigers vs Melbourne Victory
Team pages: Apia L Tigers · Melbourne Victory
See it on the live radar ↗- Apia L Tigers3-2Melbourne Victory
| Apia L Tigers | Draw | Melbourne Victory | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 24% | 54% |
| Market | 22% | 24% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Apia L Tigers (rating 1581 vs 1535).
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Apia L Tigers | Melbourne Victory | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.4 | 2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.1 | 3.4 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Apia L Tigers 1–0–0 Melbourne Victory
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/18 Australia FFA Cup | Apia L Tigers | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Melbourne Victory |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Apia L Tigers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 12/08 | Sydney United 58 Australia Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-3 | 5-3 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 14/07 | Peninsula Power Australia Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 11/07 | Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
Melbourne Victory
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Western Sydney Wanderers Australia Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Kingborough Lions Australia Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Western Sydney Wanderers Australia A-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/04 | Newcastle Jets Australia A-League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Auckland FC Australia A-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 05/04 | Wellington Phoenix Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Central Coast Mariners Australia A-League |
0-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 15/03 | Macarthur FC Australia A-League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 07/03 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Apia L Tigers vs Melbourne Victory?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Melbourne Victory win (54%). Probabilities: Apia L Tigers 22%, draw 24%, Melbourne Victory 54%.
How many goals are expected in Apia L Tigers vs Melbourne Victory?
The model expects 3.06 goals (Apia L Tigers 1.16 · Melbourne Victory 1.9), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Apia L Tigers vs Melbourne Victory?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.