Football · Australia Cup · 18/08, 11:30
Prediction: SD Raiders vs Sydney FC
Team pages: SD Raiders · Sydney FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
SD Raiders0.85
Sydney FC2.26
1X2
SD Raiders
Draw
Sydney FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
SD Raiders
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Sydney FC
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SD Raiders 1516 · Sydney FC 1551
| SD Raiders | Draw | Sydney FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 20% | 68% |
| Market | 13% | 17% | 70% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SD Raiders | Sydney FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.3 | 2.1 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SD Raiders
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 11/08 | Macarthur FC Australia Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 01/08 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 14/07 | Rochedale Rovers Australia Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/06 | Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
Sydney FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Brisbane Roar Australia Cup |
3-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 29/07 | Tottenham Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 21/07 | Bayswater City Australia Cup |
2-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Auckland FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Newcastle Jets Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 09/05 | Newcastle Jets Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Melbourne Victory Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Auckland FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Western Sydney Wanderers Australia A-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SD Raiders vs Sydney FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sydney FC win (69%). Probabilities: SD Raiders 13%, draw 18%, Sydney FC 69%.
How many goals are expected in SD Raiders vs Sydney FC?
The model expects 3.11 goals (SD Raiders 0.85 · Sydney FC 2.26), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in SD Raiders vs Sydney FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.