Football · Australia Cup · 12/08, 11:45

Prediction: North Sunshine Eagles vs Heidelberg Utd

Team pages: North Sunshine Eagles · Heidelberg Utd

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
North Sunshine Eagles0.67
Heidelberg Utd2.14
1X2
11% 17% 72%
North Sunshine Eagles Draw Heidelberg Utd
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
North Sunshine Eagles 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DLLDLWWDLD
Heidelberg Utd 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · North Sunshine Eagles 1487 · Heidelberg Utd 1492
North Sunshine EaglesDrawHeidelberg Utd
Our model9%20%71%
Market12%15%73%
Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

North Sunshine EaglesHeidelberg Utd
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.21 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 5.53.1 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 02.3 / 0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNorth Sunshine EaglesHeidelberg Utd
Brunswick Juventus 0-0 D 2-0 W
Preston Lions 0-1 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Heidelberg Utd (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

North Sunshine Eagles

DLLDLWWDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Brunswick Juventus
Australia Victoria Premier League 1
0-0 0-0 63 D
27/07 Melbourne Victory NPL
Australia Victoria Premier League 1
0-1 0-1 65 L
18/07 Eltham Redbacks
Australia Victoria Premier League 1
1-0 1-1 56 D
15/07 White City FK Beograd
Australia Cup
0-0 3-2 45 W
11/07 Port Melbourne SC
Australia Victoria Premier League 1
3-0 5-0 81 W
07/07 Preston Lions
Australia Victoria Cup
0-0 0-1 31 L
04/07 Manningham United Blues
Australia Victoria Premier League 1
0-2 2-2 810 D
20/06 Northcote City
Australia Victoria Premier League 1
0-1 0-2 54 L
13/06 FC Melbourne Srbija
Australia Victoria Premier League 1
0-0 1-2 51 L
06/06 Melbourne Knights
Australia Victoria Premier League 1
1-1 1-1 52 D

Heidelberg Utd

LLLWDDDWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Avondale
Australia NPL Victoria
1-1 1-2 44 L
24/07 Caroline Springs George Cross FC
Australia NPL Victoria
0-0 0-0 71 D
21/07 Cumberland United
Australia Cup
2-0 3-0 42 W
18/07 Altona Magic
Australia NPL Victoria
0-0 0-0 71 D
11/07 Melbourne City FC 2
Australia NPL Victoria
1-1 2-2 96 D
03/07 St Albans Saints
Australia NPL Victoria
1-0 1-1 54 D
30/06 Brunswick Juventus
Australia Cup Qualifying
2-0 2-0 63 W
26/06 Oakleigh Cannons
Australia NPL Victoria
0-0 0-1 20 L
20/06 Preston Lions
Australia NPL Victoria
0-0 0-1 62 L
05/06 Dandenong City
Australia NPL Victoria
0-2 1-4 120 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in North Sunshine Eagles vs Heidelberg Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Heidelberg Utd win (72%). Probabilities: North Sunshine Eagles 11%, draw 17%, Heidelberg Utd 72%.

How many goals are expected in North Sunshine Eagles vs Heidelberg Utd?

The model expects 2.81 goals (North Sunshine Eagles 0.67 · Heidelberg Utd 2.14), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in North Sunshine Eagles vs Heidelberg Utd?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.