Football · Australia Cup · 11/08, 11:30

Prediction: SD Raiders vs Macarthur FC

Team pages: SD Raiders · Macarthur FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.39Total
SD Raiders1.16
Macarthur FC2.23
1X2
18% 21% 61%
SD Raiders Draw Macarthur FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
SD Raiders 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LWLLLWWWWW
Macarthur FC 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLWWLLWW
Head-to-head
SD Raiders 0–1 Macarthur FC (1 last)
  • SD Raiders0-5Macarthur FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SD Raiders 1529 · Macarthur FC 1492
SD RaidersDrawMacarthur FC
Our model18%21%61%
Market18%21%61%
Estimated total (ours) 3.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SD RaidersMacarthur FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.31.6 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.71 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 5.13.7 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.33.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · SD Raiders 001 Macarthur FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/07/25
Australia Cup
SD Raiders0-5
HT 0-2
Macarthur FC

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SD Raiders

LWLLLWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Australia New South Wales Premier League
1-0 3-0 77 W
01/08 St George Saints
Australia New South Wales Premier League
0-1 3-2 44 W
25/07 Marconi Stallions
Australia New South Wales Premier League
0-1 2-1 63 W
18/07 Wollongong Wolves
Australia New South Wales Premier League
1-2 3-2 48 W
14/07 Rochedale Rovers
Australia Cup
1-0 2-1 84 W
11/07 Blacktown City
Australia New South Wales Premier League
0-2 1-3 53 L
04/07 Manly Utd
Australia New South Wales Premier League
0-0 0-1 23 L
30/06 Sydney FC U21
Australia New South Wales Premier League
0-0 0-1 91 L
27/06 St George City FA
Australia New South Wales Premier League
0-1 3-1 50 W
21/06 Sydney United 58
Australia New South Wales Premier League
0-0 0-1 17 L

Macarthur FC

LLLLWWLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/07 University Azzurri FC
Australia Cup
1-0 3-0 212 W
24/04 Wellington Phoenix
Australia A-League
3-0 4-0 84 W
19/04 Adelaide United
Australia A-League
1-0 1-3 33 L
12/04 Perth Glory
Australia A-League
0-0 1-3 16 L
02/04 Newcastle Jets
Australia A-League
2-2 3-2 111 W
21/03 Auckland FC
Australia A-League
2-0 2-1 53 W
15/03 Melbourne Victory
Australia A-League
1-2 1-4 35 L
04/03 Central Coast Mariners
Australia A-League
0-1 1-3 36 L
28/02 Western Sydney Wanderers
Australia A-League
0-3 0-4 84 L
22/02 Newcastle Jets
Australia A-League
0-0 0-1 83 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SD Raiders vs Macarthur FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Macarthur FC win (61%). Probabilities: SD Raiders 18%, draw 21%, Macarthur FC 61%.

How many goals are expected in SD Raiders vs Macarthur FC?

The model expects 3.39 goals (SD Raiders 1.16 · Macarthur FC 2.23), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SD Raiders vs Macarthur FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.