Prediction: Sambiase vs Vigor Lamezia
Team pages: Sambiase · Vigor Lamezia
- Sambiase1-1Vigor Lamezia
- Sambiase0-1Vigor Lamezia
- Vigor Lamezia0-0Sambiase
- Vigor Lamezia0-1Sambiase
| Sambiase | Draw | Vigor Lamezia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 29% | 20% |
| Market | 53% | 26% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sambiase (rating 1539 vs 1475).
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sambiase | Vigor Lamezia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 50/17/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.2 | 1.6 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sambiase 1–2–1 Vigor Lamezia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/26 Italy Serie D Cup | Sambiase | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Vigor Lamezia |
| 01/02/26 Italy Serie D | Sambiase | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Vigor Lamezia |
| 28/09/25 Italy Serie D | Vigor Lamezia | 0-0 | Sambiase |
| 31/08/25 Italy Serie D Cup | Vigor Lamezia | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sambiase |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Igea Virtus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 3 | Sambiase | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Vibonese | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Nissa FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Milazzo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 9 | ASD Licata | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 10 | Modica | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 12 | ASD CastrumFavara | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Città di Gela | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | ASD Ragusa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 15 | Vigor Lamezia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| 16 | Siracusa | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| 17 | Enna Calcio | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 1 |
| 18 | Trapani | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sambiase | Vigor Lamezia |
|---|---|---|
| Milazzo | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Reggina | 2-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Nissa FC | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Sambiase (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sambiase
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Milazzo Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 16/09 | Modica Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/09 | Città di Gela Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Reggina Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Nissa FC Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Milazzo Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Enna Calcio Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/04 | ASD Paterno Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 29/03 | Acireale Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Vigor Lamezia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Reggina Italy Serie D |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/09 | ASD Ragusa Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Igea Virtus Italy Serie D |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/09 | Nissa FC Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Igea Virtus Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | ASD Sancataldese Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | ACR Messina Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 15/04 | Milazzo Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | Vibonese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sambiase vs Vigor Lamezia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sambiase win (52%). Probabilities: Sambiase 52%, draw 27%, Vigor Lamezia 20%.
How many goals are expected in Sambiase vs Vigor Lamezia?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Sambiase 1.49 · Vigor Lamezia 0.82), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sambiase vs Vigor Lamezia?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.