Football · Italy Serie D · 06/09, 17:00

Prediction: Nissa FC vs Vigor Lamezia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Nissa FC1.47
Vigor Lamezia0.84
1X2
52% 28% 21%
Nissa FC Draw Vigor Lamezia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Nissa FC 6-4-0 (W-D-L)
DWWWWDWDWD
Vigor Lamezia 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
WDLDLLDDDW
Head-to-head
Nissa FC 2–0 Vigor Lamezia (2 last)
  • Nissa FC2-1Vigor Lamezia
  • Vigor Lamezia0-1Nissa FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nissa FC 1577 · Vigor Lamezia 1469
Nissa FCDrawVigor Lamezia
Our model51%29%20%
Market52%26%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nissa FC (rating 1577 vs 1469).
  • H2H favours Nissa FC: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Nissa FCVigor Lamezia
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 0.41.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 00.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)71/29/0%60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 3.91.5 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.32.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nissa FC 200 Vigor Lamezia

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/02/26
Italy Serie D
Nissa FC2-1Vigor Lamezia
12/10/25
Italy Serie D
Vigor Lamezia0-1
HT 0-1
Nissa FC

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Sambiase 000 000
1 ASD CastrumFavara 000 000
1 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 000 000
1 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio 000 000
1 ASD Ragusa 000 000
1 Calcio Avola 1949 000 000
1 Enna Calcio 000 000
1 Igea Virtus 000 000
1 ASD Licata 000 000
1 Reggina 000 000
1 Milazzo 000 000
1 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 000 000
1 Nissa FC 000 000
1 Vibonese 000 000
1 Vigor Lamezia 000 000
16 Città di Gela 000 00-1
17 Trapani 000 00-5
18 Siracusa 000 00-7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNissa FCVigor Lamezia
Reggina 0-0 D 2-0 W
ASD Sancataldese 5-1 W 1-1 D
ACR Messina 1-0 W 1-1 D
Igea Virtus 1-1 D 4-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 0 L 2 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nissa FC

DWWWWDWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/05 Reggina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 37 D
03/05 ASD Paterno
Italy Serie D
4-1 W
26/04 Sambiase
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 15 D
19/04 Enna Calcio
Italy Serie D
3-0 3-0 52 W
12/04 Acireale
Italy Serie D
0-0 D
02/04 Città di Gela
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 61 W
29/03 ASD Sancataldese
Italy Serie D
3-0 5-1 13 W
22/03 SSD Athletic Club Palermo
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-0 32 W
15/03 ACR Messina
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 85 W
01/03 Igea Virtus
Italy Serie D
1-1 D

Vigor Lamezia

WDLDLLDDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/05 Igea Virtus
Italy Serie D
1-0 4-1 60 W
26/04 ASD Sancataldese
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
19/04 ACR Messina
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 23 D
15/04 Milazzo
Italy Serie D
0-0 D
12/04 AC Savoia 1908
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-2 24 L
29/03 Vibonese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 51 L
22/03 ASD Ragusa
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
15/03 ASD CastrumFavara
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 44 L
01/03 Gelbison
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
22/02 Reggina
Italy Serie D
2-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nissa FC vs Vigor Lamezia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nissa FC win (52%). Probabilities: Nissa FC 52%, draw 28%, Vigor Lamezia 21%.

How many goals are expected in Nissa FC vs Vigor Lamezia?

The model expects 2.31 goals (Nissa FC 1.47 · Vigor Lamezia 0.84), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nissa FC vs Vigor Lamezia?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.