Prediction: Reggina vs Igea Virtus
Team pages: Reggina · Igea Virtus
- Igea Virtus0-2Reggina
- Reggina0-1Igea Virtus
- Reggina4-1Igea Virtus
- Igea Virtus1-2Reggina
| Reggina | Draw | Igea Virtus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 21% | 15% |
| Market | 63% | 22% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reggina (rating 1620 vs 1552).
- H2H favours Reggina: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Reggina | Igea Virtus | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.4 | 2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 63/38/0% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.8 | 2 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Reggina 3–0–1 Igea Virtus
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/26 Italy Serie D | Igea Virtus | 0-2 | Reggina |
| 02/11/25 Italy Serie D | Reggina | 0-1 | Igea Virtus |
| 05/01/25 Italy Serie D | Reggina | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Igea Virtus |
| 08/09/24 Italy Serie D | Igea Virtus | 1-2 | Reggina |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Igea Virtus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 3 | Sambiase | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Vibonese | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Nissa FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Milazzo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 9 | ASD Licata | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 10 | Modica | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 12 | ASD CastrumFavara | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Città di Gela | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | ASD Ragusa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 15 | Vigor Lamezia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| 16 | Siracusa | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| 17 | Enna Calcio | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 1 |
| 18 | Trapani | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -5 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Reggina | Igea Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Vigor Lamezia | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Calcio Avola 1949 | 4-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Reggina (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reggina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Vigor Lamezia Italy Serie D |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 16/09 | Calcio Avola 1949 Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Modica Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | ASD Licata Italy Serie D |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Nissa FC Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Sambiase Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Milazzo Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | ASD Paterno Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 15/04 | Enna Calcio Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 12/04 | Città di Gela Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 19 | 4 | D |
Igea Virtus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Trapani Italy Serie D |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | Vibonese Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Vigor Lamezia Italy Serie D |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/09 | Calcio Avola 1949 Italy Serie D |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Vigor Lamezia Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 26/04 | ACR Messina Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/04 | Vibonese Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/03 | ASD CastrumFavara Italy Serie D |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/03 | Reggina Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reggina vs Igea Virtus?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Reggina win (63%). Probabilities: Reggina 63%, draw 22%, Igea Virtus 15%.
How many goals are expected in Reggina vs Igea Virtus?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Reggina 2.17 · Igea Virtus 0.99), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Reggina vs Igea Virtus?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.