Football · Italy Serie D · 16/09, 19:00

Prediction: Igea Virtus vs Vibonese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Igea Virtus1.43
Vibonese1.15
1X2
43% 27% 30%
Igea Virtus Draw Vibonese
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Igea Virtus 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WDDLWLWDLW
Vibonese 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LLDDWLLDWW
Head-to-head
Igea Virtus 4–1–1 Vibonese (6 last)
  • Igea Virtus2-1Vibonese
  • Vibonese0-1Igea Virtus
  • Vibonese1-2Igea Virtus
  • Igea Virtus0-0Vibonese
  • Igea Virtus2-1Vibonese
  • Vibonese3-0Igea Virtus
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Igea Virtus 1533 · Vibonese 1510
Igea VirtusDrawVibonese
Our model42%29%29%
Market44%26%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Igea Virtus: 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Igea VirtusVibonese
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.71.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 10.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/0/100%25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)– / 40.8 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)0 / 03 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Igea Virtus 411 Vibonese

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/04/26
Italy Serie D
Igea Virtus2-1Vibonese
30/11/25
Italy Serie D
Vibonese0-1
HT 0-1
Igea Virtus
16/02/25
Italy Serie D
Vibonese1-2
HT 1-2
Igea Virtus
20/10/24
Italy Serie D
Igea Virtus0-0Vibonese
17/03/24
Italy Serie D
Igea Virtus2-1Vibonese
05/11/23
Italy Serie D
Vibonese3-0
HT 1-0
Igea Virtus

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ASD CastrumFavara 1100 303
2 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 1100 503
2 Reggina 1100 503
4 Vibonese 1100 403
5 Igea Virtus 1100 423
6 Nissa FC 1100 313
7 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 2101 543
8 Sambiase 1100 213
9 Milazzo 2101 343
10 Modica 1010 221
11 ASD Ragusa 2011 351
12 Calcio Avola 1949 1001 240
13 Vigor Lamezia 1001 130
14 ASD Licata 1001 050
15 Enna Calcio 2002 080
16 Città di Gela 1001 12-1
17 Siracusa 1100 42-4
18 Trapani 1001 04-5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentIgea VirtusVibonese
Vigor Lamezia 1-4 L 2-0 W
ACR Messina 1-1 D 0-0 D
AC Savoia 1908 0-3 L 0-2 L
Gelbison 1-1 D 0-4 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Vibonese (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Igea Virtus

WDDLWLWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Calcio Avola 1949
Italy Serie D
4-2 W
03/05 Vigor Lamezia
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-4 40 L
26/04 ACR Messina
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
22/04 Vibonese
Italy Serie D
2-1 W
19/04 AC Savoia 1908
Italy Serie D
0-3 L
29/03 ASD CastrumFavara
Italy Serie D
3-2 W
25/03 Reggina
Italy Serie D
0-2 L
22/03 Gelbison
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
01/03 Nissa FC
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
22/02 ASD Paterno
Italy Serie D
2-0 W

Vibonese

LLDDWLLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Trapani
Italy Serie D
3-0 4-0 23 W
03/05 Acireale
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 07 W
26/04 Città di Gela
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
22/04 Igea Virtus
Italy Serie D
1-2 L
19/04 SSD Athletic Club Palermo
Italy Serie D
2-3 L
29/03 Vigor Lamezia
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 31 W
22/03 ACR Messina
Italy Serie D
0-0 D
15/03 ASD Ragusa
Italy Serie D
0-0 D
01/03 AC Savoia 1908
Italy Serie D
0-2 L
22/02 Gelbison
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-4 53 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Igea Virtus vs Vibonese?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Igea Virtus win (43%). Probabilities: Igea Virtus 43%, draw 27%, Vibonese 30%.

How many goals are expected in Igea Virtus vs Vibonese?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Igea Virtus 1.43 · Vibonese 1.15), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Igea Virtus vs Vibonese?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.