Prediction: Vibonese vs Milazzo
Team pages: Vibonese · Milazzo
- Milazzo4-0Vibonese
- Vibonese3-1Milazzo
| Vibonese | Draw | Milazzo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 27% | 21% |
| Market | 53% | 26% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vibonese (rating 1560 vs 1512).
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vibonese | Milazzo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.8 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/50/13% | 17/83/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.4 | 1.6 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.5 | 5.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vibonese 1–0–1 Milazzo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Italy Serie D | Milazzo | 4-0 | Vibonese |
| 12/10/25 Italy Serie D | Vibonese | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Milazzo |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | ASD Licata | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 17 |
| 5 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Milazzo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 15 |
| 8 | Igea Virtus | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 15 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| 10 | Città di Gela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Nissa FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 9 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Vigor Lamezia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 8 |
| 14 | ASD CastrumFavara | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 15 | Modica | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 16 | Trapani | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 5 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 22 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vibonese | Milazzo |
|---|---|---|
| ASD Ragusa | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Città di Gela | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 3-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Siracusa | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vibonese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | ASD Ragusa Italy Serie D |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/10 | Città di Gela Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 11/10 | Reggina Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 04/10 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Nissa FC Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/09 | Igea Virtus Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Siracusa Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/09 | Trapani Italy Serie D |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Acireale Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
Milazzo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Modica Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora Italy Serie D |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | Città di Gela Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/10 | Siracusa Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 20/09 | Sambiase Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 16/09 | Enna Calcio Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | ASD Ragusa Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | ASD CastrumFavara Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | ACR Messina Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vibonese vs Milazzo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vibonese win (53%). Probabilities: Vibonese 53%, draw 27%, Milazzo 21%.
How many goals are expected in Vibonese vs Milazzo?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Vibonese 1.67 · Milazzo 0.96), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Vibonese vs Milazzo?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.