Football · Italy Serie D · 08/11, 14:30

Prediction: Scanzorosciate vs ASD Calcio Pavonese

Team pages: Scanzorosciate

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Scanzorosciate1.2
ASD Calcio Pavonese1
1X2
40% 31% 30%
Scanzorosciate Draw ASD Calcio Pavonese
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Scanzorosciate 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WDLLDLWDDW
ASD Calcio Pavonese 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LLDWWLWDDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Scanzorosciate 1511 · ASD Calcio Pavonese 1511
ScanzorosciateDrawASD Calcio Pavonese
Our model39%32%29%
Market40%30%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ScanzorosciateASD Calcio Pavonese
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 11.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.30.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)17/67/17%17/50/33%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 3.32.2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.7 / 02.7 / 0.2

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 10721 25723
2 Sambiase 10721 17823
3 Vibonese 10631 22921
4 Calcio Avola 1949 10613 161419
5 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 10532 16818
6 Milazzo 10514 111216
7 Igea Virtus 10433 232115
8 ASD Licata 10424 101714
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 9423 121014
10 Città di Gela 10343 11812
11 Nissa FC 10334 161412
12 Siracusa 10532 171011
13 Vigor Lamezia 10226 10188
14 ASD CastrumFavara 10226 11178
15 Modica 9216 7127
16 Trapani 10325 7146
17 ASD Ragusa 10037 9213
18 Enna Calcio 10037 4243

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentScanzorosciateASD Calcio Pavonese
Club Milano 3-1 W 0-2 L
Pro Palazzo 1-1 D 2-0 W
Real Calepina FC 0-0 D 1-1 D
US Fiorenzuola 3-0 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Scanzorosciate (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Scanzorosciate

WDLLDLWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Club Milano
Italy Serie D
1-1 3-1 87 W
24/10 ASD Villa D'Alme
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 28 D
18/10 Rovato Vertovese SSD
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 25 D
11/10 ASD Brusaporto
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 18 W
04/10 Piacenza
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-4 34 L
27/09 Pro Palazzo
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
20/09 ASD Caldiero Terme
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
16/09 ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
12/09 Real Calepina FC
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 42 D
06/09 US Fiorenzuola
Italy Serie D
– 3-0 –– W

ASD Calcio Pavonese

LLDWWLWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Pro Palazzo
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W
28/10 AC Milan U23
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 82 D
25/10 Real Calepina FC
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 31 D
18/10 US Fiorenzuola
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
11/10 AC Leon Monza Brianza
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-3 32 L
27/09 Virtus Verona
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 85 W
20/09 Tritium
Italy Serie D
– 3-2 –– W
16/09 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 83 D
12/09 Club Milano
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
05/09 AC Chievo Verona
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 04 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Scanzorosciate vs ASD Calcio Pavonese?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Scanzorosciate win (40%). Probabilities: Scanzorosciate 40%, draw 31%, ASD Calcio Pavonese 30%.

How many goals are expected in Scanzorosciate vs ASD Calcio Pavonese?

The model expects 2.19 goals (Scanzorosciate 1.2 · ASD Calcio Pavonese 1), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Scanzorosciate vs ASD Calcio Pavonese?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.