Football · Italy Serie D · 08/11, 15:00

Prediction: SSD Athletic Club Palermo vs Igea Virtus

Team pages: SSD Athletic Club Palermo · Igea Virtus

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
SSD Athletic Club Palermo1.69
Igea Virtus1.43
1X2
42% 27% 31%
SSD Athletic Club Palermo Draw Igea Virtus
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
SSD Athletic Club Palermo 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLWDLWDLWW
Igea Virtus 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WDWWLDLWDL
Head-to-head
SSD Athletic Club Palermo 0–1–1 Igea Virtus (2 last)
  • Igea Virtus1-0SSD Athletic Club Palermo
  • SSD Athletic Club Palermo2-2Igea Virtus
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SSD Athletic Club Palermo 1507 · Igea Virtus 1533
SSD Athletic Club PalermoDrawIgea Virtus
Our model43%26%32%
Market42%27%31%
Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SSD Athletic Club PalermoIgea Virtus
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.12.3 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.30.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/83/17%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.62.8 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.2 / 0.65 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · SSD Athletic Club Palermo 0–1–1 Igea Virtus

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/01/26
Italy Serie D
Igea Virtus1-0SSD Athletic Club Palermo
24/09/25
Italy Serie D
SSD Athletic Club Palermo2-2
HT 2-0
Igea Virtus

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 10721 25723
2 Sambiase 10721 17823
3 Vibonese 10631 22921
4 Calcio Avola 1949 10613 161419
5 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 10532 16818
6 Milazzo 10514 111216
7 Igea Virtus 10433 232115
8 ASD Licata 10424 101714
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 9423 121014
10 Città di Gela 10343 11812
11 Nissa FC 10334 161412
12 Siracusa 10532 171011
13 Vigor Lamezia 10226 10188
14 ASD CastrumFavara 10226 11178
15 Modica 9216 7127
16 Trapani 10325 7146
17 ASD Ragusa 10037 9213
18 Enna Calcio 10037 4243

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSSD Athletic Club PalermoIgea Virtus
Vigor Lamezia 1-0 W 2-2 D
Calcio Avola 1949 1-0 W 4-2 W
Vibonese 0-3 L 4-3 W
Enna Calcio 3-0 W 2-2 D
ASD Ragusa 2-1 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 1 L 3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Igea Virtus (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SSD Athletic Club Palermo

WLWDLWDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Vigor Lamezia
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
25/10 Calcio Avola 1949
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 94 W
11/10 ASD Licata
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 16 L
04/10 Città di Gela
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
27/09 Milazzo
Italy Serie D
0-0 3-0 77 W
20/09 Vibonese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-3 26 L
16/09 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 46 D
13/09 Enna Calcio
Italy Serie D
0-0 3-0 –– W
06/09 Siracusa
Italy Serie D
– 2-4 –– L
03/05 ASD Ragusa
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W

Igea Virtus

WDWWLDLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Sambiase
Italy Serie D
– 2-4 –– L
25/10 Enna Calcio
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D
18/10 ASD Ragusa
Italy Serie D
– 3-1 –– W
11/10 ASD CastrumFavara
Italy Serie D
1-2 2-3 105 L
04/10 Nissa FC
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 66 D
27/09 Reggina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 36 L
20/09 Trapani
Italy Serie D
– 3-1 –– W
16/09 Vibonese
Italy Serie D
1-1 4-3 35 W
12/09 Vigor Lamezia
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D
06/09 Calcio Avola 1949
Italy Serie D
– 4-2 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SSD Athletic Club Palermo vs Igea Virtus?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SSD Athletic Club Palermo win (42%). Probabilities: SSD Athletic Club Palermo 42%, draw 27%, Igea Virtus 31%.

How many goals are expected in SSD Athletic Club Palermo vs Igea Virtus?

The model expects 3.12 goals (SSD Athletic Club Palermo 1.69 · Igea Virtus 1.43), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SSD Athletic Club Palermo vs Igea Virtus?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.