Prediction: Vigor Senigallia vs Polisportiva Pietralunghese
Team pages: Vigor Senigallia
| Vigor Senigallia | Draw | Polisportiva Pietralunghese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 26% | 18% |
| Market | 57% | 24% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vigor Senigallia (rating 1505 vs 1461).
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vigor Senigallia | Polisportiva Pietralunghese | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.7 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 17/33/50% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.3 | 2.5 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.5 | 4.6 / 0.4 |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 23 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Milazzo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 15 |
| 8 | ASD Licata | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 14 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Città di Gela | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 11 | Nissa FC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 11 |
| 13 | Vigor Lamezia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | ASD CastrumFavara | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | Modica | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 16 | Trapani | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vigor Senigallia | Polisportiva Pietralunghese |
|---|---|---|
| Foligno | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Forsempronese | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Giulianova Calcio 1924 | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| ASD Sporting Trestina | 5-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Vigor Senigallia (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vigor Senigallia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Foligno Italy Serie D |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/10 | U.S. Ancona Italy Serie D |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 18/10 | Santegidiese Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | ASD Atletico Ascoli Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | Teramo Italy Serie D |
2-3 | 4-6 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | FC Forsempronese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 20/09 | Termoli Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | Lanciano Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | Giulianova Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | ASD Sporting Trestina Italy Serie D |
2-2 | 5-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
Polisportiva Pietralunghese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | FC Forsempronese Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/10 | Giulianova Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | ASD Sporting Trestina Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | ASD Angelana 1930 Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | L'Aquila Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 26/09 | Notaresco Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | Maceratese Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/09 | ASD K-Sport Montecchio Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Foligno Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Recanatese Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vigor Senigallia vs Polisportiva Pietralunghese?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vigor Senigallia win (57%). Probabilities: Vigor Senigallia 57%, draw 25%, Polisportiva Pietralunghese 18%.
How many goals are expected in Vigor Senigallia vs Polisportiva Pietralunghese?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Vigor Senigallia 1.74 · Polisportiva Pietralunghese 0.89), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Vigor Senigallia vs Polisportiva Pietralunghese?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

