Football · Italy Serie D · 08/11, 14:30

Prediction: Real Calepina FC vs AC Chievo Verona

Team pages: Real Calepina FC · AC Chievo Verona

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

Real Calepina FC1.19

AC Chievo Verona1.63

1X2

27% 27% 46%

Real Calepina FC Draw AC Chievo Verona

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Calepina FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLLWLWDD

AC Chievo Verona 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWDLWW

Head-to-head

Real Calepina FC 1–1–0 AC Chievo Verona (2 last)

Real Calepina FC1-0AC Chievo Verona
AC Chievo Verona3-3Real Calepina FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Calepina FC 1489 · AC Chievo Verona 1540

	Real Calepina FC	Draw	AC Chievo Verona
Our model	27%	27%	46%
Market	26%	28%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Chievo Verona (rating 1489 vs 1540).
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Calepina FC	AC Chievo Verona
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	2.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/43/29%	29/71/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 2.9	3.1 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	4.4 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.25

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:49 +4’	3.40	3.25	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Calepina FC 1–1–0 AC Chievo Verona

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Italy Serie D	Real Calepina FC	1-0	AC Chievo Verona
01/11/25 Italy Serie D	AC Chievo Verona	3-3 HT 2-2	Real Calepina FC

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Reggina	10	7	2	1	25	7	23
2	Sambiase	10	7	2	1	17	8	23
3	Vibonese	10	6	3	1	22	9	21
4	Calcio Avola 1949	10	6	1	3	16	14	19
5	ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora	10	5	3	2	16	8	18
6	Milazzo	10	5	1	4	11	12	16
7	Igea Virtus	10	4	3	3	23	21	15
8	ASD Licata	10	4	2	4	10	17	14
9	SSD Athletic Club Palermo	9	4	2	3	12	10	14
10	Città di Gela	10	3	4	3	11	8	12
11	Nissa FC	10	3	3	4	16	14	12
12	Siracusa	10	5	3	2	17	10	11
13	Vigor Lamezia	10	2	2	6	10	18	8
14	ASD CastrumFavara	10	2	2	6	11	17	8
15	Modica	9	2	1	6	7	12	7
16	Trapani	10	3	2	5	7	14	6
17	ASD Ragusa	10	0	3	7	9	21	3
18	Enna Calcio	10	0	3	7	4	24	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Calepina FC	AC Chievo Verona
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo	1-1 D	2-1 W
ASD Calcio Pavonese	1-1 D	1-0 W
Club Milano	2-1 W	2-0 W
Rovato Vertovese SSD	1-0 W	4-3 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: AC Chievo Verona (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Calepina FC

WDDLLWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D
25/10	ASD Calcio Pavonese Italy Serie D	0-1	1-1	3	1	D
18/10	Club Milano Italy Serie D	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
11/10	ASD Villa D'Alme Italy Serie D	–	0-3	–	–	L
04/10	Rovato Vertovese SSD Italy Serie D	0-0	1-0	4	0	W
27/09	ASD Brusaporto Italy Serie D	1-0	2-3	3	7	L
20/09	Piacenza Italy Serie D	0-1	1-3	5	4	L
16/09	ASD Caldiero Terme Italy Serie D	–	2-2	–	–	D
12/09	Scanzorosciate Italy Serie D	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
06/09	Pro Palazzo Italy Serie D	3-1	5-1	0	1	W

AC Chievo Verona

WWWWLWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	US Fiorenzuola Italy Serie D	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
25/10	AC Leon Monza Brianza Italy Serie D	–	4-0	–	–	W
18/10	AC Milan U23 Italy Serie D	1-1	1-2	6	5	L
11/10	Virtus Verona Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D
03/10	Tritium Italy Serie D	1-0	5-0	7	6	W
27/09	ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone Italy Serie D	0-0	0-2	6	3	L
21/09	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Italy Serie D	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
16/09	Club Milano Italy Serie D	0-0	2-0	4	8	W
12/09	Rovato Vertovese SSD Italy Serie D	–	4-3	–	–	W
05/09	ASD Calcio Pavonese Italy Serie D	0-0	1-0	11	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Calepina FC vs AC Chievo Verona?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AC Chievo Verona win (46%). Probabilities: Real Calepina FC 27%, draw 27%, AC Chievo Verona 46%.

How many goals are expected in Real Calepina FC vs AC Chievo Verona?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Real Calepina FC 1.19 · AC Chievo Verona 1.63), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Calepina FC vs AC Chievo Verona?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.