Football · Italy Serie D · 12/09, 15:00

Prediction: AC Mestre vs Luparense FC

Team pages: AC Mestre

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.03Total
AC Mestre1.21
Luparense FC0.82
1X2
45% 30% 25%
AC Mestre Draw Luparense FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
AC Mestre 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WLWWLWDLWW
Luparense FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WLDWDLDWLW
Head-to-head
AC Mestre 2–3–1 Luparense FC (6 last)
  • Luparense FC1-2AC Mestre
  • AC Mestre0-0Luparense FC
  • Luparense FC0-0AC Mestre
  • AC Mestre1-2Luparense FC
  • Luparense FC0-0AC Mestre
  • AC Mestre2-0Luparense FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Mestre 1521 · Luparense FC 1503
AC MestreDrawLuparense FC
Our model44%32%24%
Market46%29%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.03 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours AC Mestre: 2-3-1.
  • High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AC MestreLuparense FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 11.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.20 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 53 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 03.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Mestre 231 Luparense FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/26
Italy Serie D
Luparense FC1-2AC Mestre
30/11/25
Italy Serie D
AC Mestre0-0Luparense FC
08/10/25
Italy Serie D Cup
Luparense FC0-0
HT 0-0
AC Mestre
23/03/25
Italy Serie D
AC Mestre1-2
HT 1-2
Luparense FC
10/11/24
Italy Serie D
Luparense FC0-0AC Mestre
14/01/24
Italy Serie D
AC Mestre2-0
HT 0-0
Luparense FC

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 1100 503
1 Reggina 1100 503
3 Vibonese 1100 403
4 ASD CastrumFavara 1100 303
5 Igea Virtus 1100 423
6 Nissa FC 1100 313
7 Sambiase 1100 213
8 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio 1010 221
8 ASD Ragusa 1010 221
10 Calcio Avola 1949 1001 240
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 1001 240
12 Vigor Lamezia 1001 130
13 Milazzo 1001 030
14 Enna Calcio 1001 050
14 ASD Licata 1001 050
16 Città di Gela 1001 12-1
17 Siracusa 1100 42-4
18 Trapani 1001 04-5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAC MestreLuparense FC
Treviso 1-0 W 4-0 W
Unione La Rocca Altavilla 0-1 L 1-1 D
Legnago Salus 1-1 D 3-1 W
AC Vigasio 2-1 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Luparense FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Mestre

WLWWLWDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Calvi Noale
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-0 35 W
03/05 Treviso
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
26/04 Unione La Rocca Altavilla
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 26 L
19/04 Legnago Salus
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
12/04 Luparense FC
Italy Serie D
2-1 W
22/03 Campodarsego
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 93 L
15/03 Calvi Noale
Italy Serie D
2-1 W
01/03 US Adriese
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 56 W
22/02 Bassano
Italy Serie D
1-4 L
15/02 AC Vigasio
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 65 W

Luparense FC

WLDWDLDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Legnago Salus
Italy Serie D
3-1 W
03/05 Este
Italy Serie D
0-2 0-2 72 L
26/04 AC Vigasio
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
19/04 FCD Conegliano
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
12/04 AC Mestre
Italy Serie D
1-2 L
28/03 ASD San Luigi Calcio
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 114 D
22/03 Treviso
Italy Serie D
4-0 W
15/03 Unione La Rocca Altavilla
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
01/03 Legnago Salus
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 45 L
22/02 Cjarlins Muzane
Italy Serie D
2-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Mestre vs Luparense FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Mestre win (45%). Probabilities: AC Mestre 45%, draw 30%, Luparense FC 25%.

How many goals are expected in AC Mestre vs Luparense FC?

The model expects 2.03 goals (AC Mestre 1.21 · Luparense FC 0.82), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Mestre vs Luparense FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.