Football · Italy Serie D · 27/09, 15:00

Prediction: Campodarsego vs Legnago Salus

Team pages: Legnago Salus

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

Campodarsego1.55

Legnago Salus1.22

1X2

44% 27% 29%

Campodarsego Draw Legnago Salus

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Campodarsego 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWWLWW

Legnago Salus 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDDWWLDWL

Head-to-head

Campodarsego 2–4 Legnago Salus (6 last)

Legnago Salus2-1Campodarsego
Campodarsego2-3Legnago Salus
Legnago Salus2-0Campodarsego
Campodarsego2-1Legnago Salus
Campodarsego3-0Legnago Salus
Legnago Salus1-0Campodarsego

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Campodarsego 1540 · Legnago Salus 1489

	Campodarsego	Draw	Legnago Salus
Our model	44%	27%	29%
Market	44%	27%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Campodarsego (rating 1540 vs 1489).
H2H favours Legnago Salus: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Campodarsego	Legnago Salus
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.9	1.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/0/67%	25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 2.7	3.3 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.30

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:53 +9’	2.05	3.30	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Campodarsego 2–0–4 Legnago Salus

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/01/26 Italy Serie D	Legnago Salus	2-1 HT 1-0	Campodarsego
20/09/25 Italy Serie D	Campodarsego	2-3	Legnago Salus
26/02/23 Italy Serie D	Legnago Salus	2-0 HT 1-0	Campodarsego
23/10/22 Italy Serie D	Campodarsego	2-1	Legnago Salus
01/12/19 Italy Serie D	Campodarsego	3-0 HT 0-0	Legnago Salus
04/03/18 Italy Serie D	Legnago Salus	1-0 HT 1-0	Campodarsego

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Reggina	4	4	0	0	13	0	12
2	Igea Virtus	4	3	1	0	13	8	10
3	Sambiase	4	3	1	0	5	2	10
4	Vibonese	4	2	1	1	11	5	7
5	Nissa FC	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
6	ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora	4	1	3	0	7	2	6
7	Milazzo	4	2	0	2	4	5	6
8	Calcio Avola 1949	4	2	0	2	7	10	6
9	ASD Licata	4	1	2	1	3	7	5
10	Modica	4	1	1	2	3	4	4
11	SSD Athletic Club Palermo	4	1	1	2	6	8	4
12	ASD CastrumFavara	4	1	1	2	5	4	4
13	Città di Gela	4	1	1	2	4	5	3
14	ASD Ragusa	4	0	2	2	4	7	2
15	Vigor Lamezia	4	0	2	2	4	9	2
16	Siracusa	4	2	2	0	7	4	1
17	Enna Calcio	4	0	1	3	0	9	1
18	Trapani	4	0	0	4	1	10	-5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Campodarsego	Legnago Salus
FCD Conegliano	4-0 W	1-0 W
Calvi Noale	0-1 L	0-1 L
AC Mestre	1-0 W	1-1 D
Este	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Campodarsego (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Campodarsego

LWWWLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	ASD Lavarian Mortean Esperia Italy Serie D	–	2-1	–	–	W
16/09	Triestina Italy Serie D	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	Cjarlins Muzane Italy Serie D	0-1	1-4	0	0	L
06/09	FCD Conegliano Italy Serie D	–	4-0	–	–	W
03/05	Cjarlins Muzane Italy Serie D	–	4-1	–	–	W
26/04	Calvi Noale Italy Serie D	–	0-1	–	–	L
19/04	US Adriese Italy Serie D	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/04	Bassano Italy Serie D	–	1-0	–	–	W
22/03	AC Mestre Italy Serie D	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
15/03	Este Italy Serie D	0-1	0-1	4	2	L

Legnago Salus

WDDDWWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Calvi Noale Italy Serie D	–	0-1	–	–	L
16/09	Unione La Rocca Altavilla Italy Serie D	2-1	3-2	6	6	W
12/09	Sandona 1922 Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D
06/09	Luparense FC Italy Serie D	–	1-3	–	–	L
03/05	AC Vigasio Italy Serie D	–	4-1	–	–	W
26/04	Portogruaro Italy Serie D	–	5-0	–	–	W
19/04	AC Mestre Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/04	Este Italy Serie D	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
02/04	ASD San Luigi Calcio Italy Serie D	0-1	1-1	13	5	D
29/03	FCD Conegliano Italy Serie D	0-0	1-0	5	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Campodarsego vs Legnago Salus?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Campodarsego win (44%). Probabilities: Campodarsego 44%, draw 27%, Legnago Salus 29%.

How many goals are expected in Campodarsego vs Legnago Salus?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Campodarsego 1.55 · Legnago Salus 1.22), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Campodarsego vs Legnago Salus?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.