Football · Italy Serie D · 06/09, 15:00

Prediction: Calvi Noale vs AC Mestre

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
Calvi Noale1.03
AC Mestre1.24
1X2
29% 30% 40%
Calvi Noale Draw AC Mestre
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Calvi Noale 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LLLLLWWWWW
AC Mestre 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWLWWLWDLW
Head-to-head
Calvi Noale 1–5 AC Mestre (6 last)
  • Calvi Noale2-3AC Mestre
  • Calvi Noale1-2AC Mestre
  • AC Mestre2-0Calvi Noale
  • AC Mestre3-2Calvi Noale
  • Calvi Noale2-1AC Mestre
  • AC Mestre1-0Calvi Noale
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Calvi Noale 1497 · AC Mestre 1512
Calvi NoaleDrawAC Mestre
Our model29%31%40%
Market30%30%41%
Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours AC Mestre: 5-0-1.
  • High corners: 14.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Calvi NoaleAC Mestre
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 11 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 00.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/100/0%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.7 / 8.71.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 05.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Calvi Noale 105 AC Mestre

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
30/08/26
Italy Serie D Cup
Calvi Noale2-3
HT 0-2
AC Mestre
15/03/26
Italy Serie D
Calvi Noale1-2AC Mestre
02/11/25
Italy Serie D
AC Mestre2-0Calvi Noale
02/03/25
Italy Serie D
AC Mestre3-2
HT 1-0
Calvi Noale
27/10/24
Italy Serie D
Calvi Noale2-1
HT 1-0
AC Mestre
02/04/17
Italy Serie D
AC Mestre1-0Calvi Noale

Standings · Italy Serie D

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Sambiase 000 000
1 ASD CastrumFavara 000 000
1 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 000 000
1 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio 000 000
1 ASD Ragusa 000 000
1 Calcio Avola 1949 000 000
1 Enna Calcio 000 000
1 Igea Virtus 000 000
1 ASD Licata 000 000
1 Reggina 000 000
1 Milazzo 000 000
1 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 000 000
1 Nissa FC 000 000
1 Vibonese 000 000
1 Vigor Lamezia 000 000
16 Città di Gela 000 00-1
17 Trapani 000 00-5
18 Siracusa 000 00-7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCalvi NoaleAC Mestre
Bassano 1-0 W 1-4 L
Campodarsego 1-0 W 0-1 L
Portogruaro 3-1 W 0-0 D
AC Vigasio 3-1 W 2-1 W
Treviso 0-2 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Calvi Noale (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Calvi Noale

LLLLLWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/05 Bassano
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
26/04 Campodarsego
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
19/04 Portogruaro
Italy Serie D
0-0 3-1 123 W
03/04 Este
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 83 W
29/03 AC Vigasio
Italy Serie D
3-1 W
22/03 FCD Conegliano
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 62 L
15/03 AC Mestre
Italy Serie D
1-2 L
01/03 FC Obermais
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
22/02 ASD San Luigi Calcio
Italy Serie D
0-2 L
15/02 Treviso
Italy Serie D
0-2 L

AC Mestre

DWLWWLWDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/05 Treviso
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
26/04 Unione La Rocca Altavilla
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 26 L
19/04 Legnago Salus
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
12/04 Luparense FC
Italy Serie D
2-1 W
22/03 Campodarsego
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 93 L
15/03 Calvi Noale
Italy Serie D
2-1 W
01/03 US Adriese
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 56 W
22/02 Bassano
Italy Serie D
1-4 L
15/02 AC Vigasio
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 65 W
08/02 Portogruaro
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 66 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Calvi Noale vs AC Mestre?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AC Mestre win (40%). Probabilities: Calvi Noale 29%, draw 30%, AC Mestre 40%.

How many goals are expected in Calvi Noale vs AC Mestre?

The model expects 2.27 goals (Calvi Noale 1.03 · AC Mestre 1.24), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Calvi Noale vs AC Mestre?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.