Football · Italy Serie D · 16/09, 15:00

Prediction: Virtus Flaminia vs ASD Sasso Marconi

Team pages: ASD Sasso Marconi

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Virtus Flaminia1.92
ASD Sasso Marconi0.87
1X2
61% 24% 15%
Virtus Flaminia Draw ASD Sasso Marconi
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Virtus Flaminia 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WDDWLDLWWW
ASD Sasso Marconi 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DWLLLWDLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Virtus Flaminia 1522 · ASD Sasso Marconi 1486
Virtus FlaminiaDrawASD Sasso Marconi
Our model61%24%15%
Market61%24%15%
Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Virtus FlaminiaASD Sasso Marconi
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 0.91.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 10.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%17/17/67%
Corners (HT / FT)4.3 / 5.82 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 05 / 0.2

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 1100 503
1 Reggina 1100 503
3 Vibonese 1100 403
4 ASD CastrumFavara 1100 303
5 Igea Virtus 1100 423
6 Nissa FC 1100 313
7 Sambiase 1100 213
8 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio 1010 221
8 ASD Ragusa 1010 221
10 Calcio Avola 1949 1001 240
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 1001 240
12 Vigor Lamezia 1001 130
13 Milazzo 1001 030
14 Enna Calcio 1001 050
14 ASD Licata 1001 050
16 Città di Gela 1001 12-1
17 Siracusa 1100 42-4
18 Trapani 1001 04-5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Virtus Flaminia

WDDWLDLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 ASD Grassina
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 82 W
06/09 Ghiviborgo
Italy Serie D
2-0 W
03/05 Montespaccato
Italy Serie D
2-2 4-2 32 W
26/04 Budoni
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
19/04 Nocerina
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 82 D
12/04 Cynthialbalonga
Italy Serie D
1-2 L
29/03 ASD Trastevere
Italy Serie D
2-1 2-1 42 W
22/03 Anzio Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
15/03 Monastir Kosmoto
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
04/03 Ischia
Italy Serie D
1-0 W

ASD Sasso Marconi

DWLLLWDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 San Donato Tavarnelle
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-3 66 L
06/09 ASD Terranuova Traiana
Italy Serie D
2-1 W
03/05 SCD Progresso Calcio
Italy Serie D
1-4 L
26/04 Imolese
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 44 D
19/04 Rovato Vertovese SSD
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-1 86 W
12/04 Desenzano
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
02/04 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-2 14 L
29/03 Cittadella Vis Modena
Italy Serie D
0-2 0-2 15 L
22/03 Tuttocuoio
Italy Serie D
2-1 W
15/03 Tropical Coriano
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 46 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Virtus Flaminia vs ASD Sasso Marconi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Virtus Flaminia win (61%). Probabilities: Virtus Flaminia 61%, draw 24%, ASD Sasso Marconi 15%.

How many goals are expected in Virtus Flaminia vs ASD Sasso Marconi?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Virtus Flaminia 1.92 · ASD Sasso Marconi 0.87), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Virtus Flaminia vs ASD Sasso Marconi?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.