Football · Italy Serie D · 16/09, 15:00

Prediction: Chisola vs Sanremese

Team pages: Sanremese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Chisola0.87
Sanremese1.32
1X2
24% 30% 46%
Chisola Draw Sanremese
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Chisola 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DDLLLDLWWL
Sanremese 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WLWLDLDWWD
Head-to-head
Chisola 1–1–4 Sanremese (6 last)
  • Sanremese1-0Chisola
  • Chisola1-0Sanremese
  • Chisola0-1Sanremese
  • Sanremese0-0Chisola
  • Sanremese2-0Chisola
  • Chisola0-2Sanremese
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chisola 1466 · Sanremese 1548
ChisolaDrawSanremese
Our model23%31%46%
Market24%29%47%
Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sanremese (rating 1466 vs 1548).
  • H2H favours Sanremese: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ChisolaSanremese
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.71.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 1.20.3 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)17/17/67%33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.31 / 1.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.25 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chisola 114 Sanremese

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/02/26
Italy Serie D
Sanremese1-0Chisola
28/09/25
Italy Serie D
Chisola1-0Sanremese
06/04/25
Italy Serie D
Chisola0-1Sanremese
24/11/24
Italy Serie D
Sanremese0-0Chisola
07/01/24
Italy Serie D
Sanremese2-0Chisola
10/09/23
Italy Serie D
Chisola0-2
HT 0-1
Sanremese

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 1100 503
1 Reggina 1100 503
3 Vibonese 1100 403
4 ASD CastrumFavara 1100 303
5 Igea Virtus 1100 423
6 Nissa FC 1100 313
7 Sambiase 1100 213
8 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio 1010 221
8 ASD Ragusa 1010 221
10 Calcio Avola 1949 1001 240
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 1001 240
12 Vigor Lamezia 1001 130
13 Milazzo 1001 030
14 Enna Calcio 1001 050
14 ASD Licata 1001 050
16 Città di Gela 1001 12-1
17 Siracusa 1100 42-4
18 Trapani 1001 04-5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentChisolaSanremese
Ligorna 0-0 D 2-2 D
Sestri Levante 1-2 L 2-0 W
Club Milano 0-2 L 1-0 W
ASD Imperia 1-1 D 2-2 D
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 2 L 2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sanremese (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chisola

DDLLLDLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 USD Fezzanese
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 65 L
03/05 Valenzana
Italy Serie D
3-1 3-2 42 W
26/04 Lavagnese
Italy Serie D
4-2 W
19/04 ASDC Gozzano
Italy Serie D
1-2 2-3 44 L
12/04 Ligorna
Italy Serie D
0-0 D
02/04 FC Vado
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-2 33 L
29/03 Sestri Levante
Italy Serie D
1-2 L
22/03 Club Milano
Italy Serie D
0-2 0-2 45 L
15/03 ACSD Saluzzo
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 54 D
01/03 ASD Imperia
Italy Serie D
1-1 D

Sanremese

WLWLDLDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Ligorna
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-2 25 D
03/05 Sestri Levante
Italy Serie D
2-0 W
26/04 Club Milano
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
19/04 ASD Imperia
Italy Serie D
2-2 D
12/04 Derthona
Italy Serie D
1-2 L
29/03 Citta di Varese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 16 D
22/03 Celle Varazze FBC
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
15/03 NovaRomentino
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-2 14 W
01/03 Asti
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
22/02 Cairese
Italy Serie D
2-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chisola vs Sanremese?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sanremese win (46%). Probabilities: Chisola 24%, draw 30%, Sanremese 46%.

How many goals are expected in Chisola vs Sanremese?

The model expects 2.19 goals (Chisola 0.87 · Sanremese 1.32), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Chisola vs Sanremese?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.