Football · Italy Serie D · 06/09, 15:00

Prediction: FC Obermais vs Cjarlins Muzane

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

FC Obermais1.3

Cjarlins Muzane1.36

1X2

34% 29% 37%

FC Obermais Draw Cjarlins Muzane

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Obermais 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWDDDDWD

Cjarlins Muzane 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DLDDWDDLWL

Head-to-head

FC Obermais 1–1–0 Cjarlins Muzane (2 last)

Cjarlins Muzane2-2FC Obermais
FC Obermais2-1Cjarlins Muzane

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Obermais 1515 · Cjarlins Muzane 1502

	FC Obermais	Draw	Cjarlins Muzane
Our model	34%	29%	37%
Market	34%	29%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Obermais	Cjarlins Muzane
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.1	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.3	0 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/33/0%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 2.7	2.5 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.10

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:46 +12’	2.60	3.10	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Obermais 1–1–0 Cjarlins Muzane

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Italy Serie D	Cjarlins Muzane	2-2 HT 0-2	FC Obermais
30/11/25 Italy Serie D	FC Obermais	2-1 HT 2-1	Cjarlins Muzane

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#	Team	Pts
1	Sambiase	0
1	ASD CastrumFavara	0
1	ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora	0
1	ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio	0
1	ASD Ragusa	0
1	Calcio Avola 1949	0
1	Enna Calcio	0
1	Igea Virtus	0
1	ASD Licata	0
1	Reggina	0
1	Milazzo	0
1	SSD Athletic Club Palermo	0
1	Nissa FC	0
1	Vibonese	0
1	Vigor Lamezia	0
16	Città di Gela	-1
17	Trapani	-5
18	Siracusa	-7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Obermais	Cjarlins Muzane
AC Vigasio	2-2 D	1-1 D
ASD San Luigi Calcio	3-1 W	4-2 W
Unione La Rocca Altavilla	0-0 D	0-0 D
Treviso	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Obermais (1 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Obermais

WLLWDDDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/05	AC Vigasio Italy Serie D	1-1	2-2	2	6	D
10/05	ASD San Luigi Calcio Italy Serie D	–	3-1	–	–	W
03/05	ASD San Luigi Calcio Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D
26/04	FCD Conegliano Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/04	Unione La Rocca Altavilla Italy Serie D	–	0-0	–	–	D
12/04	Cjarlins Muzane Italy Serie D	2-0	2-2	5	5	D
29/03	Treviso Italy Serie D	–	2-0	–	–	W
22/03	Clodiense Italy Serie D	–	1-2	–	–	L
18/03	Legnago Salus Italy Serie D	1-0	1-2	1	6	L
01/03	Calvi Noale Italy Serie D	–	1-0	–	–	W

Cjarlins Muzane

DLDDWDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/05	Campodarsego Italy Serie D	–	1-4	–	–	L
26/04	ASD San Luigi Calcio Italy Serie D	–	4-2	–	–	W
19/04	Bassano Italy Serie D	–	0-1	–	–	L
12/04	FC Obermais Italy Serie D	0-2	2-2	8	5	D
29/03	Unione La Rocca Altavilla Italy Serie D	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
22/03	Portogruaro Italy Serie D	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/03	Treviso Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D
01/03	AC Vigasio Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D
22/02	Luparense FC Italy Serie D	–	1-2	–	–	L
15/02	Este Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Obermais vs Cjarlins Muzane?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cjarlins Muzane win (37%). Probabilities: FC Obermais 34%, draw 29%, Cjarlins Muzane 37%.

How many goals are expected in FC Obermais vs Cjarlins Muzane?

The model expects 2.66 goals (FC Obermais 1.3 · Cjarlins Muzane 1.36), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Obermais vs Cjarlins Muzane?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.