Football · Italy Serie D · 13/09, 15:00

Prediction: Este vs FC Obermais

Team pages: FC Obermais

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Este1.48
FC Obermais0.98
1X2
48% 28% 24%
Este Draw FC Obermais
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Este 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWLLLDDWWW
FC Obermais 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
LLWDDDDWDL
Head-to-head
Este 2–0 FC Obermais (2 last)
  • FC Obermais1-3Este
  • Este3-0FC Obermais
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Este 1545 · FC Obermais 1469
EsteDrawFC Obermais
Our model48%29%24%
Market48%28%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Este (rating 1545 vs 1469).
  • H2H favours Este: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

EsteFC Obermais
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.81.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.31.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)38/50/13%50/25/25%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 3.92 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.5 / 04.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Este 200 FC Obermais

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/01/26
Italy Serie D
FC Obermais1-3Este
07/09/25
Italy Serie D
Este3-0
HT 1-0
FC Obermais

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 1100 503
1 Reggina 1100 503
3 Vibonese 1100 403
4 ASD CastrumFavara 1100 303
5 Igea Virtus 1100 423
6 Nissa FC 1100 313
7 Sambiase 1100 213
8 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio 1010 221
8 ASD Ragusa 1010 221
10 Calcio Avola 1949 1001 240
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 1001 240
12 Vigor Lamezia 1001 130
13 Milazzo 1001 030
14 Enna Calcio 1001 050
14 ASD Licata 1001 050
16 Città di Gela 1001 12-1
17 Siracusa 1100 42-4
18 Trapani 1001 04-5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEsteFC Obermais
Treviso 2-1 W 2-0 W
Clodiense 1-1 D 1-2 L
Legnago Salus 1-1 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Este (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Este

WWLLLDDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 ASD Brian Lignano
Italy Serie D
2-0 W
03/05 Luparense FC
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-0 02 W
26/04 Treviso
Italy Serie D
2-1 W
17/04 Clodiense
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 13 D
12/04 Legnago Salus
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 23 D
03/04 Calvi Noale
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 63 L
29/03 ASD Brian Lignano
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 54 L
22/03 Bassano
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-2 62 L
15/03 Campodarsego
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 72 W
01/03 Portogruaro
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 41 W

FC Obermais

LLWDDDDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Cjarlins Muzane
Italy Serie D
1-4 2-5 32 L
17/05 AC Vigasio
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-2 26 D
10/05 ASD San Luigi Calcio
Italy Serie D
3-1 W
03/05 ASD San Luigi Calcio
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
26/04 FCD Conegliano
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
19/04 Unione La Rocca Altavilla
Italy Serie D
0-0 D
12/04 Cjarlins Muzane
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-2 55 D
29/03 Treviso
Italy Serie D
2-0 W
22/03 Clodiense
Italy Serie D
1-2 L
18/03 Legnago Salus
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-2 16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Este vs FC Obermais?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Este win (48%). Probabilities: Este 48%, draw 28%, FC Obermais 24%.

How many goals are expected in Este vs FC Obermais?

The model expects 2.46 goals (Este 1.48 · FC Obermais 0.98), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Este vs FC Obermais?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.