Football · Italy Serie D · 01/11, 15:00

Prediction: Fidelis Andria vs FC Francavilla

Team pages: Fidelis Andria · FC Francavilla

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.93Total
Fidelis Andria1.31
FC Francavilla0.62
1X2
53% 29% 18%
Fidelis Andria Draw FC Francavilla
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Fidelis Andria 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLLDLLWWWW
FC Francavilla 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WWLLLLLDDW
Head-to-head
Fidelis Andria 2–3–1 FC Francavilla (6 last)
  • Fidelis Andria0-0FC Francavilla
  • FC Francavilla0-0Fidelis Andria
  • FC Francavilla2-1Fidelis Andria
  • Fidelis Andria1-0FC Francavilla
  • FC Francavilla0-0Fidelis Andria
  • Fidelis Andria2-1FC Francavilla
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fidelis Andria 1486 · FC Francavilla 1462
Fidelis AndriaDrawFC Francavilla
Our model52%31%17%
Market55%26%19%
Estimated total (ours) 1.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Fidelis Andria: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Fidelis AndriaFC Francavilla
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.50.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.80.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)17/33/50%33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.70.5 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.32.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fidelis Andria 2–3–1 FC Francavilla

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/04/26
Italy Serie D
Fidelis Andria0-0
HT 0-0
FC Francavilla
23/11/25
Italy Serie D
FC Francavilla0-0Fidelis Andria
09/03/25
Italy Serie D
FC Francavilla2-1Fidelis Andria
03/11/24
Italy Serie D
Fidelis Andria1-0
HT 1-0
FC Francavilla
13/06/21
Italy Serie D
FC Francavilla0-0Fidelis Andria
14/02/21
Italy Serie D
Fidelis Andria2-1FC Francavilla

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 9621 20520
2 Sambiase 9621 13620
3 Vibonese 9531 20818
4 ASD Licata 9522 121417
5 Calcio Avola 1949 9513 121216
6 Milazzo 9513 101016
7 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 9432 15815
8 Igea Virtus 9432 211715
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 8323 111011
10 Città di Gela 9243 1089
11 Nissa FC 9234 11139
12 Siracusa 9432 1388
13 Vigor Lamezia 9225 10178
14 ASD CastrumFavara 9225 10128
15 Modica 8215 7117
16 Trapani 9315 5125
17 ASD Ragusa 9036 7163
18 Enna Calcio 9027 2222

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFidelis AndriaFC Francavilla
Real Forio 2014 2-1 W 2-1 W
Gladiator 2-3 L 1-1 D
Brindisi FC 0-1 L 0-1 L
FBC Gravina 1-3 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Francavilla (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fidelis Andria

LLLDLLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 AC Nardo
Italy Serie D
2-1 3-1 44 W
18/10 Virtus Francavilla
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
11/10 Real Aversa 1925
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 46 W
04/10 Real Forio 2014
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
27/09 SS Turris Calcio
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 21 L
20/09 Gladiator
Italy Serie D
– 2-3 –– L
16/09 Manfredonia
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 53 D
12/09 Brindisi FC
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 22 L
06/09 FBC Gravina
Italy Serie D
– 1-3 –– L
03/05 FC Pompei
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 56 L

FC Francavilla

WWLLLLLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Real Forio 2014
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
18/10 FBC Gravina
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
11/10 Gladiator
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
04/10 Martina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 22 L
27/09 Brindisi FC
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
20/09 Melfi
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
16/09 US Palmese 1914
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
13/09 Bisceglie 1913
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 45 L
06/09 Ischia
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
03/05 Afragolese 1944
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 30 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fidelis Andria vs FC Francavilla?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fidelis Andria win (53%). Probabilities: Fidelis Andria 53%, draw 29%, FC Francavilla 18%.

How many goals are expected in Fidelis Andria vs FC Francavilla?

The model expects 1.93 goals (Fidelis Andria 1.31 · FC Francavilla 0.62), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Fidelis Andria vs FC Francavilla?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.