Football · Italy Serie D · 16/09, 20:30

Prediction: Fidelis Andria vs Manfredonia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.03Total
Fidelis Andria1.25
Manfredonia0.78
1X2
47% 30% 23%
Fidelis Andria Draw Manfredonia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Fidelis Andria 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLWDWWDLLL
Manfredonia 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLWLLWLDWL
Head-to-head
Fidelis Andria 2–3–1 Manfredonia (6 last)
  • Manfredonia1-1Fidelis Andria
  • Manfredonia0-0Fidelis Andria
  • Fidelis Andria0-1Manfredonia
  • Fidelis Andria0-0Manfredonia
  • Manfredonia0-1Fidelis Andria
  • Fidelis Andria2-0Manfredonia
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fidelis Andria 1482 · Manfredonia 1498
Fidelis AndriaDrawManfredonia
Our model46%32%22%
Market48%28%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Fidelis Andria: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Fidelis AndriaManfredonia
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 0.91.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)29/57/14%0/67/33%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 4.91.3 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.72.3 / 0.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fidelis Andria 231 Manfredonia

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/08/26
Italy Serie D Cup
Manfredonia1-1Fidelis Andria
26/04/26
Italy Serie D
Manfredonia0-0
HT 0-0
Fidelis Andria
14/12/25
Italy Serie D
Fidelis Andria0-1
HT 0-0
Manfredonia
02/03/25
Italy Serie D
Fidelis Andria0-0Manfredonia
27/10/24
Italy Serie D
Manfredonia0-1Fidelis Andria
21/04/24
Italy Serie D
Fidelis Andria2-0
HT 1-0
Manfredonia

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 1100 503
1 Reggina 1100 503
3 Vibonese 1100 403
4 ASD CastrumFavara 1100 303
5 Igea Virtus 1100 423
6 Nissa FC 1100 313
7 Sambiase 1100 213
8 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio 1010 221
8 ASD Ragusa 1010 221
10 Calcio Avola 1949 1001 240
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 1001 240
12 Vigor Lamezia 1001 130
13 Milazzo 1001 030
14 Enna Calcio 1001 050
14 ASD Licata 1001 050
16 Città di Gela 1001 12-1
17 Siracusa 1100 42-4
18 Trapani 1001 04-5

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFidelis AndriaManfredonia
FBC Gravina 1-3 L 1-2 L
Real Acerrana 1-0 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Manfredonia (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fidelis Andria

WLWDWWDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Brindisi FC
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 22 L
06/09 FBC Gravina
Italy Serie D
1-3 L
03/05 FC Pompei
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 56 L
26/04 Manfredonia
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 26 D
19/04 Sarnese
Italy Serie D
2-1 2-1 82 W
12/04 Virtus Francavilla
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 33 W
02/04 FC Francavilla
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 84 D
29/03 Real Acerrana
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
22/03 Afragolese 1944
Italy Serie D
1-2 L
15/03 ASD Heraclea
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 66 W

Manfredonia

WLWLLWLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Gladiator
Italy Serie D
1-2 L
03/05 Real Acerrana
Italy Serie D
2-1 W
26/04 Fidelis Andria
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 66 D
19/04 AC Nardo
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 12 L
12/04 SS Nola 1925
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
29/03 FBC Gravina
Italy Serie D
1-2 L
22/03 Citta di Fasano
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 21 L
15/03 Paganese
Italy Serie D
3-1 W
01/03 Real Aversa 1925
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
22/02 ASD Ferrandina 17890
Italy Serie D
2-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fidelis Andria vs Manfredonia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fidelis Andria win (47%). Probabilities: Fidelis Andria 47%, draw 30%, Manfredonia 23%.

How many goals are expected in Fidelis Andria vs Manfredonia?

The model expects 2.03 goals (Fidelis Andria 1.25 · Manfredonia 0.78), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Fidelis Andria vs Manfredonia?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.