Football · Italy Serie D · 06/09, 15:00

Prediction: Scandicci vs Robur Siena

Team pages: Scandicci · Robur Siena

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Scandicci1.27

Robur Siena1.51

1X2

31% 28% 42%

Scandicci Draw Robur Siena

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Scandicci 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWDWWDLL

Robur Siena 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWWDWD

Head-to-head

Scandicci 1–1–3 Robur Siena (5 last)

Robur Siena2-0Scandicci
Robur Siena0-1Scandicci
Scandicci1-1Robur Siena
Robur Siena1-0Scandicci
Scandicci0-1Robur Siena

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Scandicci 1530 · Robur Siena 1614

	Scandicci	Draw	Robur Siena
Our model	31%	28%	42%
Market	31%	28%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Robur Siena (rating 1530 vs 1614).
H2H favours Robur Siena: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Scandicci	Robur Siena
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	3.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	1.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/80/20%	67/0/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.4	1.3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.25

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 1.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.90▲	Bet365 2.90
X	3.20 → 3.25▲	Bet365 3.25
2	2.55 → 2.15▼	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:40 +18’	2.45	3.20	2.55
11:52 +3’	2.90▲	3.25▲	2.15▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Scandicci 1–1–3 Robur Siena

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/07/26 Europe Friendlies	Robur Siena	2-0 HT 2-0	Scandicci
25/01/26 Italy Serie D	Robur Siena	0-1	Scandicci
24/09/25 Italy Serie D	Scandicci	1-1 HT 0-1	Robur Siena
24/02/21 Italy Serie D	Robur Siena	1-0 HT 1-0	Scandicci
14/10/20 Italy Serie D	Scandicci	0-1 HT 0-1	Robur Siena

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sambiase	1	1	0	2	1	3
2	ASD CastrumFavara	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	ASD Ragusa	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Calcio Avola 1949	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Enna Calcio	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Igea Virtus	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	ASD Licata	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Reggina	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Milazzo	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	SSD Athletic Club Palermo	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Nissa FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Vibonese	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Vigor Lamezia	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Città di Gela	1	0	1	1	2	-1
17	Trapani	0	0	0	0	0	-5
18	Siracusa	0	0	0	0	0	-7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Scandicci	Robur Siena
ASD Cannara	1-1 D	4-0 W
ASD Sporting Trestina	1-1 D	4-4 D
Camaiore	2-1 W	5-2 W
Aquila 1902 Montevarchi	1-1 D	0-0 D
Foligno	1-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Robur Siena (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Scandicci

WDDWDWWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/05	Poggibonsi Italy Serie D	–	0-1	–	–	L
26/04	Gavorrano Italy Serie D	1-1	1-3	5	6	L
19/04	ASD Cannara Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/04	Orvietana Italy Serie D	–	1-0	–	–	W
02/04	ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio Italy Serie D	2-2	4-3	5	2	W
28/03	ASD Sporting Trestina Italy Serie D	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
22/03	Camaiore Italy Serie D	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/03	Grosseto Italy Serie D	0-1	1-1	0	5	D
01/03	Aquila 1902 Montevarchi Italy Serie D	0-0	1-1	3	1	D
22/02	Foligno Italy Serie D	–	1-0	–	–	W

Robur Siena

WWWDWWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/05	ASD Sporting Trestina Italy Serie D	–	4-4	–	–	D
26/04	Camaiore Italy Serie D	–	5-2	–	–	W
19/04	Aquila 1902 Montevarchi Italy Serie D	–	0-0	–	–	D
12/04	ASD Seravezza Calcio Italy Serie D	2-0	4-1	5	4	W
29/03	San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D	2-0	3-2	1	4	W
22/03	Foligno Italy Serie D	–	3-2	–	–	W
15/03	Prato Italy Serie D	1-2	3-3	7	2	D
01/03	Ghiviborgo Italy Serie D	–	4-1	–	–	W
22/02	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Italy Serie D	–	3-1	–	–	W
15/02	ASD Cannara Italy Serie D	–	4-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Scandicci vs Robur Siena?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Robur Siena win (42%). Probabilities: Scandicci 31%, draw 28%, Robur Siena 42%.

How many goals are expected in Scandicci vs Robur Siena?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Scandicci 1.27 · Robur Siena 1.51), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Scandicci vs Robur Siena?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.