Football · Italy Serie D · 06/09, 16:00

Prediction: Virtus Francavilla vs US Palmese 1914

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Virtus Francavilla1.33
US Palmese 19141.14
1X2
40% 29% 31%
Virtus Francavilla Draw US Palmese 1914
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Virtus Francavilla 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LWWWWDLLLD
US Palmese 1914 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WLDWWWLWLL
Head-to-head
Virtus Francavilla 0–2 US Palmese 1914 (2 last)
  • US Palmese 19141-0Virtus Francavilla
  • Virtus Francavilla1-2US Palmese 1914
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Virtus Francavilla 1494 · US Palmese 1914 1493
Virtus FrancavillaDrawUS Palmese 1914
Our model40%30%30%
Market40%29%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours US Palmese 1914: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Virtus FrancavillaUS Palmese 1914
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.61.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.70.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/57/43%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.61.8 / 2.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 03.2 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Virtus Francavilla 002 US Palmese 1914

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/02/25
Italy Serie D
US Palmese 19141-0Virtus Francavilla
20/10/24
Italy Serie D
Virtus Francavilla1-2
HT 1-1
US Palmese 1914

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Sambiase 000 000
1 ASD CastrumFavara 000 000
1 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 000 000
1 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio 000 000
1 ASD Ragusa 000 000
1 Calcio Avola 1949 000 000
1 Enna Calcio 000 000
1 Igea Virtus 000 000
1 ASD Licata 000 000
1 Reggina 000 000
1 Milazzo 000 000
1 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 000 000
1 Nissa FC 000 000
1 Vibonese 000 000
1 Vigor Lamezia 000 000
16 Città di Gela 000 00-1
17 Trapani 000 00-5
18 Siracusa 000 00-7

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Virtus Francavilla

LWWWWDLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/05 Sarnese
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-2 55 D
26/04 FC Pompei
Italy Serie D
1-4 L
19/04 FC Francavilla
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-3 73 L
12/04 Fidelis Andria
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 33 L
02/04 Afragolese 1944
Italy Serie D
0-2 2-2 43 D
29/03 AC Nardo
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 55 W
22/03 Real Acerrana
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
15/03 SS Nola 1925
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-1 21 W
01/03 ASD Heraclea
Italy Serie D
3-1 W
22/02 FBC Gravina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 64 L

US Palmese 1914

WLDWWWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/05 Monastir Kosmoto
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 13 L
26/04 Scafatese
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
19/04 Ischia
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
12/04 USD Latte Dolce
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-4 06 L
29/03 Valmontone 1921
Italy Serie D
0-1 2-1 22 W
22/03 Atletico Lodigiani
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
15/03 Real Monterotondo
Italy Serie D
5-1 W
22/02 Budoni
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 34 D
15/02 Cassino
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
08/02 Nocerina
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 53 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Virtus Francavilla vs US Palmese 1914?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Virtus Francavilla win (40%). Probabilities: Virtus Francavilla 40%, draw 29%, US Palmese 1914 31%.

How many goals are expected in Virtus Francavilla vs US Palmese 1914?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Virtus Francavilla 1.33 · US Palmese 1914 1.14), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Virtus Francavilla vs US Palmese 1914?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.