Football · Italy Serie D · 13/09, 16:00

Prediction: ASD Sasso Marconi vs San Donato Tavarnelle

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.2Total
ASD Sasso Marconi1.11
San Donato Tavarnelle1.09
1X2
35% 31% 34%
ASD Sasso Marconi Draw San Donato Tavarnelle
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Sasso Marconi 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LDWLLLWDLW
San Donato Tavarnelle 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LDLLLWWWDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASD Sasso Marconi 1491 · San Donato Tavarnelle 1490
ASD Sasso MarconiDrawSan Donato Tavarnelle
Our model35%32%33%
Market36%30%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ASD Sasso MarconiSan Donato Tavarnelle
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.61 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.80.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)17/17/67%14/57/29%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 3.81.1 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.24.9 / 0.1

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 1100 503
1 Reggina 1100 503
3 Vibonese 1100 403
4 ASD CastrumFavara 1100 303
5 Igea Virtus 1100 423
6 Nissa FC 1100 313
7 Sambiase 1100 213
8 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio 1010 221
8 ASD Ragusa 1010 221
10 Calcio Avola 1949 1001 240
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 1001 240
12 Vigor Lamezia 1001 130
13 Milazzo 1001 030
14 Enna Calcio 1001 050
14 ASD Licata 1001 050
16 Città di Gela 1001 12-1
17 Siracusa 1100 42-4
18 Trapani 1001 04-5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASD Sasso Marconi

LDWLLLWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 ASD Terranuova Traiana
Italy Serie D
2-1 W
03/05 SCD Progresso Calcio
Italy Serie D
1-4 L
26/04 Imolese
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 44 D
19/04 Rovato Vertovese SSD
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-1 86 W
12/04 Desenzano
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
02/04 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-2 14 L
29/03 Cittadella Vis Modena
Italy Serie D
0-2 0-2 15 L
22/03 Tuttocuoio
Italy Serie D
2-1 W
15/03 Tropical Coriano
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 46 D
01/03 Correggese
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 56 L

San Donato Tavarnelle

LDLLLWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 ASD Seravezza Calcio
Italy Serie D
2-1 W
03/05 ASD Seravezza Calcio
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
26/04 Grosseto
Italy Serie D
2-0 W
19/04 Foligno
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 75 W
12/04 Ghiviborgo
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 22 W
29/03 Robur Siena
Italy Serie D
0-2 2-3 34 L
22/03 Prato
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 17 L
15/03 ASD Terranuova Traiana
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 14 L
01/03 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 58 D
22/02 Poggibonsi
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASD Sasso Marconi vs San Donato Tavarnelle?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ASD Sasso Marconi win (35%). Probabilities: ASD Sasso Marconi 35%, draw 31%, San Donato Tavarnelle 34%.

How many goals are expected in ASD Sasso Marconi vs San Donato Tavarnelle?

The model expects 2.2 goals (ASD Sasso Marconi 1.11 · San Donato Tavarnelle 1.09), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in ASD Sasso Marconi vs San Donato Tavarnelle?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.