Football · Italy Serie D · 01/11, 14:30

Prediction: US Palmese 1914 vs Ischia

Team pages: US Palmese 1914 · Ischia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
US Palmese 19141.66
Ischia1.23
1X2
46% 26% 27%
US Palmese 1914 Draw Ischia
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
US Palmese 1914 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLLDWLLWLW
Ischia 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WLDLLLDWLD
Head-to-head
US Palmese 1914 1–3 Ischia (4 last)
  • US Palmese 19141-0Ischia
  • Ischia3-1US Palmese 1914
  • Ischia1-0US Palmese 1914
  • US Palmese 19140-1Ischia
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · US Palmese 1914 1453 · Ischia 1459
US Palmese 1914DrawIschia
Our model46%26%27%
Market46%26%27%
Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Ischia: 3-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

US Palmese 1914Ischia
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.81.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 0.80.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/50/50%33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.83.3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 03.7 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · US Palmese 1914 1–0–3 Ischia

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/04/26
Italy Serie D
US Palmese 19141-0Ischia
07/12/25
Italy Serie D
Ischia3-1US Palmese 1914
27/04/25
Italy Serie D
Ischia1-0US Palmese 1914
15/12/24
Italy Serie D
US Palmese 19140-1Ischia

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 9621 20520
2 Sambiase 9621 13620
3 Vibonese 9531 20818
4 ASD Licata 9522 121417
5 Calcio Avola 1949 9513 121216
6 Milazzo 9513 101016
7 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 9432 15815
8 Igea Virtus 9432 211715
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 8323 111011
10 Città di Gela 9243 1089
11 Nissa FC 9234 11139
12 Siracusa 9432 1388
13 Vigor Lamezia 9225 10178
14 ASD CastrumFavara 9225 10128
15 Modica 8215 7117
16 Trapani 9315 5125
17 ASD Ragusa 9036 7163
18 Enna Calcio 9027 2222

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUS Palmese 1914Ischia
Ebolitana 2-0 W 1-1 D
Bisceglie 1913 2-3 L 1-3 L
AC Nardo 4-2 W 1-2 L
Nocerina 0-3 L 2-3 L
Real Aversa 1925 3-4 L 2-2 D
FC Francavilla 1-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 3 L 0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: US Palmese 1914 (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

US Palmese 1914

LLLDWLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Ebolitana
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W
11/10 Bisceglie 1913
Italy Serie D
– 2-3 –– L
04/10 AC Nardo
Italy Serie D
– 4-2 –– W
27/09 Nocerina
Italy Serie D
– 0-3 –– L
20/09 Real Aversa 1925
Italy Serie D
0-1 3-4 62 L
16/09 FC Francavilla
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
13/09 SS Turris Calcio
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 54 D
06/09 Virtus Francavilla
Italy Serie D
0-2 1-3 72 L
02/05 Monastir Kosmoto
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 13 L
26/04 Scafatese
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L

Ischia

WLDLLLDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Martina
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
18/10 Manfredonia
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
11/10 Melfi
Italy Serie D
– 3-0 –– W
04/10 Ebolitana
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
27/09 Bisceglie 1913
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-3 104 L
20/09 AC Nardo
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
16/09 Nocerina
Italy Serie D
2-1 2-3 34 L
12/09 Real Aversa 1925
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D
06/09 FC Francavilla
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
03/05 Nocerina
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 44 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in US Palmese 1914 vs Ischia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a US Palmese 1914 win (46%). Probabilities: US Palmese 1914 46%, draw 26%, Ischia 27%.

How many goals are expected in US Palmese 1914 vs Ischia?

The model expects 2.89 goals (US Palmese 1914 1.66 · Ischia 1.23), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in US Palmese 1914 vs Ischia?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.