Prediction: Gavorrano vs ASD Sasso Marconi
Team pages: Gavorrano · ASD Sasso Marconi
- Gavorrano2-1ASD Sasso Marconi
| Gavorrano | Draw | ASD Sasso Marconi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 28% | 19% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gavorrano (rating 1542 vs 1470).
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gavorrano | ASD Sasso Marconi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/63/25% | 14/29/57% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.2 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gavorrano 1–0–0 ASD Sasso Marconi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/24 Italy Serie D Cup | Gavorrano | 2-1 HT 2-0 | ASD Sasso Marconi |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Igea Virtus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 3 | Sambiase | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Vibonese | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Nissa FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Milazzo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 9 | ASD Licata | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 10 | Modica | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 12 | ASD CastrumFavara | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Città di Gela | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | ASD Ragusa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 15 | Vigor Lamezia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| 16 | Siracusa | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| 17 | Enna Calcio | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 1 |
| 18 | Trapani | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -5 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gavorrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/09 | GSD Ghiviborgo VDS Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 12/09 | Nuova Ternana Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | ASD Grassina Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Scandicci Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | Orvietana Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 12/04 | ASD Sporting Trestina Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 28/03 | Grosseto Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 22/03 | Aquila 1902 Montevarchi Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
ASD Sasso Marconi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Prato Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/09 | Virtus Flaminia Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | ASD Terranuova Traiana Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | SCD Progresso Calcio Italy Serie D |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Imolese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Rovato Vertovese SSD Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Desenzano Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/04 | Lentigione Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | Cittadella Vis Modena Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gavorrano vs ASD Sasso Marconi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gavorrano win (54%). Probabilities: Gavorrano 54%, draw 27%, ASD Sasso Marconi 19%.
How many goals are expected in Gavorrano vs ASD Sasso Marconi?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Gavorrano 1.56 · ASD Sasso Marconi 0.84), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Gavorrano vs ASD Sasso Marconi?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.