Football · Italy Serie D · 16/09, 15:00

Prediction: Real Aversa 1925 vs Martina

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
Real Aversa 19251.07
Martina1.23
1X2
31% 30% 39%
Real Aversa 1925 Draw Martina
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Real Aversa 1925 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWWWLLDWLW
Martina 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
DLWWLWLLLW
Head-to-head
Real Aversa 1925 0–1–1 Martina (2 last)
  • Martina2-0Real Aversa 1925
  • Real Aversa 19250-0Martina
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Aversa 1925 1542 · Martina 1492
Real Aversa 1925DrawMartina
Our model31%31%38%
Market32%29%40%
Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Aversa 1925 (rating 1542 vs 1492).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Real Aversa 1925Martina
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.81.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.30.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/33/33%38/13/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 2.32.5 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.24.6 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Aversa 1925 011 Martina

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/26
Italy Serie D
Martina2-0
HT 0-0
Real Aversa 1925
30/11/25
Italy Serie D
Real Aversa 19250-0Martina

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ASD CastrumFavara 1100 303
2 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 1100 503
2 Reggina 1100 503
4 Vibonese 1100 403
5 Igea Virtus 1100 423
6 Nissa FC 1100 313
7 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 2101 543
8 Sambiase 1100 213
9 Milazzo 2101 343
10 Modica 1010 221
11 ASD Ragusa 2011 351
12 Calcio Avola 1949 1001 240
13 Vigor Lamezia 1001 130
14 ASD Licata 1001 050
15 Enna Calcio 2002 080
16 Città di Gela 1001 12-1
17 Siracusa 1100 42-4
18 Trapani 1001 04-5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentReal Aversa 1925Martina
Citta di Fasano 2-0 W 0-1 L
Afragolese 1944 0-0 D 2-0 W
Barletta 0-1 L 3-3 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Martina (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Aversa 1925

DWWWLLDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Melfi
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 22 W
03/05 FBC Gravina
Italy Serie D
0-1 2-3 15 L
26/04 Citta di Fasano
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 12 W
19/04 Afragolese 1944
Italy Serie D
0-0 D
12/04 Martina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 35 L
29/03 Barletta
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 22 L
22/03 ASD Ferrandina 17890
Italy Serie D
2-0 3-1 54 W
15/03 FC Pompei
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
01/03 Manfredonia
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
22/02 FC Francavilla
Italy Serie D
1-1 D

Martina

DLWWLWLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Real Forio 2014
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 95 W
06/09 SS Turris Calcio
Italy Serie D
3-4 L
17/05 Paganese
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 65 L
03/05 SS Nola 1925
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 26 L
26/04 ASD Heraclea
Italy Serie D
2-1 2-1 73 W
19/04 Citta di Fasano
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 27 L
12/04 Real Aversa 1925
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 105 W
29/03 Afragolese 1944
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 35 W
22/03 Paganese
Italy Serie D
1-3 2-3 43 L
15/03 Barletta
Italy Serie D
3-3 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Aversa 1925 vs Martina?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Martina win (39%). Probabilities: Real Aversa 1925 31%, draw 30%, Martina 39%.

How many goals are expected in Real Aversa 1925 vs Martina?

The model expects 2.3 goals (Real Aversa 1925 1.07 · Martina 1.23), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Aversa 1925 vs Martina?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.