Football · Spain Tercera Group 4 · 07/11, 17:15

Prediction: Lagun Onak vs Pasaia KE

Team pages: Lagun Onak · Pasaia KE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Lagun Onak1.61

Pasaia KE1.05

1X2

49% 27% 24%

Lagun Onak Draw Pasaia KE

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Lagun Onak 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLLLLD

Pasaia KE 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLDWWWLLLL

Head-to-head

Lagun Onak 3–2–1 Pasaia KE (6 last)

Pasaia KE1-1Lagun Onak
Lagun Onak2-0Pasaia KE
Lagun Onak1-2Pasaia KE
Pasaia KE3-3Lagun Onak
Pasaia KE0-1Lagun Onak
Lagun Onak2-1Pasaia KE

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Lagun Onak: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lagun Onak	Pasaia KE
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	1.2 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0	0.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	0/67/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.5 / 1	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0	5.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.94

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:26

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.63 → 1.63	Pinn 1.63
X	3.57 → 3.57	Pinn 3.57
2	4.83 → 4.83	Pinn 4.83

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
07:58 +27’	1.63	3.57	4.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lagun Onak 3–2–1 Pasaia KE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 4	Pasaia KE	1-1	Lagun Onak
02/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 4	Lagun Onak	2-0	Pasaia KE
26/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 4	Lagun Onak	1-2	Pasaia KE
14/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 4	Pasaia KE	3-3 HT 1-2	Lagun Onak
27/01/24 Spain Tercera Group 4	Pasaia KE	0-1	Lagun Onak
09/09/23 Spain Tercera Group 4	Lagun Onak	2-1	Pasaia KE

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Leioa	9	5	4	0	24	10	19
2	Aurrera de Vitoria	9	6	1	2	14	14	19
3	CD Derio	9	5	3	1	13	8	18
4	UD Aretxabaleta	9	5	2	2	12	8	17
5	CD Touring	9	4	3	2	10	6	15
6	Real Sociedad C	9	4	3	2	16	12	15
7	CD Alaves C	9	4	3	2	20	10	15
8	San Ignacio	9	4	2	3	16	11	14
9	Cultural de Durango	9	3	5	1	14	11	14
10	Eibar C	9	4	2	3	16	12	14
11	SD Beasain	9	3	2	4	13	13	11
12	Sodupe	9	3	2	4	6	15	11
13	Pasaia KE	9	3	1	5	12	19	10
14	Santurtzi	9	3	0	6	7	12	9
15	Lagun Onak	9	2	2	5	8	13	8
16	Real Union B	9	1	4	4	9	16	7
17	SD Erandio	9	2	0	7	8	13	6
18	Amurrio	9	0	1	8	3	18	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lagun Onak	Pasaia KE
CD Derio	1-2 L	2-3 L
Cultural de Durango	1-2 L	0-2 L
SD Beasain	2-4 L	1-4 L
UD Aretxabaleta	1-2 L	2-4 L
Santurtzi	1-0 W	1-0 W
San Ignacio	1-0 W	2-1 W
Real Sociedad C	0-2 L	3-2 W
Leioa	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Lagun Onak (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lagun Onak

WDLWWLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	CD Touring Spain Tercera Group 4	–	0-0	–	–	D
24/10	CD Derio Spain Tercera Group 4	–	1-2	–	–	L
17/10	Cultural de Durango Spain Tercera Group 4	–	1-2	–	–	L
10/10	SD Beasain Spain Tercera Group 4	–	2-4	–	–	L
03/10	UD Aretxabaleta Spain Tercera Group 4	–	1-2	–	–	L
27/09	Santurtzi Spain Tercera Group 4	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
19/09	San Ignacio Spain Tercera Group 4	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	Real Sociedad C Spain Tercera Group 4	0-0	0-2	1	7	L
05/09	Leioa Spain Tercera Group 4	–	1-1	–	–	D
17/05	CD Derio Spain Tercera Group 4	–	2-0	–	–	W

Pasaia KE

LLDWWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	CD Derio Spain Tercera Group 4	1-1	2-3	4	8	L
24/10	Cultural de Durango Spain Tercera Group 4	–	0-2	–	–	L
17/10	SD Beasain Spain Tercera Group 4	1-2	1-4	2	5	L
11/10	UD Aretxabaleta Spain Tercera Group 4	2-2	2-4	7	5	L
03/10	Santurtzi Spain Tercera Group 4	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/09	San Ignacio Spain Tercera Group 4	–	2-1	–	–	W
19/09	Real Sociedad C Spain Tercera Group 4	1-1	3-2	6	5	W
13/09	Leioa Spain Tercera Group 4	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
05/09	SD Erandio Spain Tercera Group 4	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
09/05	Eibar C Spain Tercera Group 4	–	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lagun Onak vs Pasaia KE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lagun Onak win (49%). Probabilities: Lagun Onak 49%, draw 27%, Pasaia KE 24%.

How many goals are expected in Lagun Onak vs Pasaia KE?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Lagun Onak 1.61 · Pasaia KE 1.05), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lagun Onak vs Pasaia KE?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.