Prediction: SD Erandio vs San Ignacio
Team pages: San Ignacio
| SD Erandio | Draw | San Ignacio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 30% | 37% |
| Market | 34% | 29% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Ignacio (rating 1427 vs 1502).
- Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SD Erandio | San Ignacio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.7 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/67/0% | 50/25/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0 | 5.5 / 0.3 |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 4
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leioa | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Real Sociedad C | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 18 |
| 4 | CD Alaves C | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | CD Derio | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 18 |
| 6 | Cultural de Durango | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | UD Aretxabaleta | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 17 |
| 8 | CD Touring | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 15 |
| 9 | Eibar C | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 14 |
| 10 | Sodupe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 14 |
| 11 | San Ignacio | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | SD Beasain | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 14 |
| 13 | Lagun Onak | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 11 |
| 14 | Real Union B | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
| 15 | Pasaia KE | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 10 |
| 16 | Santurtzi | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 9 |
| 17 | SD Erandio | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 6 |
| 18 | Amurrio | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 24 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SD Erandio | San Ignacio |
|---|---|---|
| Sodupe | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| CD Alaves C | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Aurrera de Vitoria | 1-2 L | 5-0 W |
| Amurrio | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Eibar C | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Real Union B | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Pasaia KE | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 5 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SD Erandio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Real Sociedad C Spain Tercera Group 4 |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 31/10 | Leioa Spain Tercera Group 4 |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/10 | CD Touring Spain Tercera Group 4 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/10 | Sodupe Spain Tercera Group 4 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 10/10 | CD Alaves C Spain Tercera Group 4 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | Aurrera de Vitoria Spain Tercera Group 4 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/09 | Amurrio Spain Tercera Group 4 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 19/09 | Eibar C Spain Tercera Group 4 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Real Union B Spain Tercera Group 4 |
– | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Pasaia KE Spain Tercera Group 4 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
San Ignacio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Sodupe Spain Tercera Group 4 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 31/10 | CD Alaves C Spain Tercera Group 4 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 24/10 | Aurrera de Vitoria Spain Tercera Group 4 |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/10 | Amurrio Spain Tercera Group 4 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | Eibar C Spain Tercera Group 4 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | Real Union B Spain Tercera Group 4 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | Pasaia KE Spain Tercera Group 4 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | Lagun Onak Spain Tercera Group 4 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | CD Derio Spain Tercera Group 4 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Cultural de Durango Spain Tercera Group 4 |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SD Erandio vs San Ignacio?
According to our model, the most likely result is an San Ignacio win (37%). Probabilities: SD Erandio 34%, draw 29%, San Ignacio 37%.
How many goals are expected in SD Erandio vs San Ignacio?
The model expects 2.43 goals (SD Erandio 1.18 · San Ignacio 1.25), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in SD Erandio vs San Ignacio?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.