Football · Spain Tercera Group 4 · 14/11, 16:30

Prediction: CD Touring vs Pasaia KE

Team pages: CD Touring · Pasaia KE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

CD Touring1.76

Pasaia KE0.97

1X2

55% 26% 19%

CD Touring Draw Pasaia KE

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Touring 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWDLWWDL

Pasaia KE 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDWWWLLLLL

Head-to-head

CD Touring 2–3–1 Pasaia KE (6 last)

CD Touring1-1Pasaia KE
Pasaia KE0-0CD Touring
CD Touring2-1Pasaia KE
Pasaia KE1-2CD Touring
CD Touring1-1Pasaia KE
Pasaia KE2-1CD Touring

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Touring (rating 1515 vs 1451).
H2H favours CD Touring: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Touring	Pasaia KE
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1.3 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0	0.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/75/0%	0/67/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	5.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.89

Under 2.51.86

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:11

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.62 → 1.62	Pinn 1.62
X	3.62 → 3.62	Pinn 3.62
2	4.85 → 4.85	Pinn 4.85

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
06:00 +11’	1.62	3.62	4.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Touring 2–3–1 Pasaia KE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 4	CD Touring	1-1	Pasaia KE
27/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 4	Pasaia KE	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Touring
25/01/25 Spain Tercera Group 4	CD Touring	2-1 HT 0-1	Pasaia KE
14/09/24 Spain Tercera Group 4	Pasaia KE	1-2	CD Touring
27/04/24 Spain Tercera Group 4	CD Touring	1-1	Pasaia KE
16/12/23 Spain Tercera Group 4	Pasaia KE	2-1 HT 1-1	CD Touring

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Leioa	10	6	4	0	28	12	22
2	Aurrera de Vitoria	10	7	1	2	17	14	22
3	Real Sociedad C	10	5	3	2	20	13	18
4	CD Alaves C	10	5	3	2	21	10	18
5	CD Derio	10	5	3	2	15	11	18
6	Cultural de Durango	10	4	5	1	16	11	17
7	UD Aretxabaleta	10	5	2	3	12	11	17
8	CD Touring	10	4	3	3	12	10	15
9	Eibar C	10	4	2	4	16	14	14
10	Sodupe	10	4	2	4	7	15	14
11	San Ignacio	10	4	2	4	16	12	14
12	SD Beasain	10	4	2	4	19	13	14
13	Lagun Onak	10	3	2	5	11	14	11
14	Real Union B	10	2	4	4	12	18	10
15	Pasaia KE	10	3	1	6	13	22	10
16	Santurtzi	10	3	0	7	7	13	9
17	SD Erandio	10	2	0	8	9	17	6
18	Amurrio	10	0	1	9	3	24	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Touring	Pasaia KE
Leioa	2-4 L	1-1 D
Lagun Onak	0-0 D	1-3 L
SD Erandio	1-0 W	0-2 L
CD Derio	2-0 W	2-3 L
Cultural de Durango	2-2 D	0-2 L
SD Beasain	2-0 W	1-4 L
UD Aretxabaleta	0-1 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: CD Touring (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Touring

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Leioa Spain Tercera Group 4	–	2-4	–	–	L
31/10	Lagun Onak Spain Tercera Group 4	–	0-0	–	–	D
24/10	SD Erandio Spain Tercera Group 4	–	1-0	–	–	W
17/10	CD Derio Spain Tercera Group 4	–	2-0	–	–	W
10/10	Sodupe Spain Tercera Group 4	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
03/10	Cultural de Durango Spain Tercera Group 4	–	2-2	–	–	D
26/09	CD Alaves C Spain Tercera Group 4	2-0	2-1	1	3	W
19/09	SD Beasain Spain Tercera Group 4	0-0	2-0	6	8	W
12/09	Aurrera de Vitoria Spain Tercera Group 4	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	UD Aretxabaleta Spain Tercera Group 4	0-0	0-1	6	2	L

Pasaia KE

LDWWWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Lagun Onak Spain Tercera Group 4	–	1-3	–	–	L
31/10	CD Derio Spain Tercera Group 4	1-1	2-3	4	8	L
24/10	Cultural de Durango Spain Tercera Group 4	–	0-2	–	–	L
17/10	SD Beasain Spain Tercera Group 4	1-2	1-4	2	5	L
11/10	UD Aretxabaleta Spain Tercera Group 4	2-2	2-4	7	5	L
03/10	Santurtzi Spain Tercera Group 4	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/09	San Ignacio Spain Tercera Group 4	–	2-1	–	–	W
19/09	Real Sociedad C Spain Tercera Group 4	1-1	3-2	6	5	W
13/09	Leioa Spain Tercera Group 4	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
05/09	SD Erandio Spain Tercera Group 4	0-0	0-2	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Touring vs Pasaia KE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Touring win (55%). Probabilities: CD Touring 55%, draw 26%, Pasaia KE 19%.

How many goals are expected in CD Touring vs Pasaia KE?

The model expects 2.73 goals (CD Touring 1.76 · Pasaia KE 0.97), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Touring vs Pasaia KE?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.