Football · Spain Tercera Group 4 · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: CD Alaves C vs UD Aretxabaleta

Team pages: CD Alaves C · UD Aretxabaleta

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

CD Alaves C1.72

UD Aretxabaleta1.25

1X2

47% 26% 27%

CD Alaves C Draw UD Aretxabaleta

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Alaves C 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWLLWWDDWW

UD Aretxabaleta 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLWWWLWL

Head-to-head

CD Alaves C 1–1–2 UD Aretxabaleta (4 last)

UD Aretxabaleta3-1CD Alaves C
CD Alaves C1-2UD Aretxabaleta
UD Aretxabaleta0-2CD Alaves C
CD Alaves C1-1UD Aretxabaleta

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours UD Aretxabaleta: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Alaves C	UD Aretxabaleta
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1	1.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	43/14/43%	20/80/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.1	1 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.91

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:10

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.32 → 1.32	Pinn 1.32
X	4.72 → 4.72	Pinn 4.72
2	7.86 → 7.86	Pinn 7.86

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
06:07 +3’	1.32	4.72	7.86

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Alaves C 1–1–2 UD Aretxabaleta

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 4	UD Aretxabaleta	3-1	CD Alaves C
19/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 4	CD Alaves C	1-2	UD Aretxabaleta
23/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 4	UD Aretxabaleta	0-2 HT 0-1	CD Alaves C
10/11/24 Spain Tercera Group 4	CD Alaves C	1-1 HT 0-0	UD Aretxabaleta

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Leioa	10	6	4	0	28	12	22
2	Aurrera de Vitoria	10	7	1	2	17	14	22
3	Real Sociedad C	10	5	3	2	20	13	18
4	CD Alaves C	10	5	3	2	21	10	18
5	CD Derio	10	5	3	2	15	11	18
6	Cultural de Durango	10	4	5	1	16	11	17
7	UD Aretxabaleta	10	5	2	3	12	11	17
8	CD Touring	10	4	3	3	12	10	15
9	Eibar C	10	4	2	4	16	14	14
10	Sodupe	10	4	2	4	7	15	14
11	San Ignacio	10	4	2	4	16	12	14
12	SD Beasain	10	4	2	4	19	13	14
13	Lagun Onak	10	3	2	5	11	14	11
14	Real Union B	10	2	4	4	12	18	10
15	Pasaia KE	10	3	1	6	13	22	10
16	Santurtzi	10	3	0	7	7	13	9
17	SD Erandio	10	2	0	8	9	17	6
18	Amurrio	10	0	1	9	3	24	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Alaves C	UD Aretxabaleta
CD Touring	1-2 L	1-0 W
Aurrera de Vitoria	1-2 L	0-3 L
Amurrio	3-0 W	2-1 W
Eibar C	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CD Alaves C (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Alaves C

DWLLWWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Santurtzi Spain Tercera Group 4	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
31/10	San Ignacio Spain Tercera Group 4	2-0	3-0	1	6	W
25/10	Real Sociedad C Spain Tercera Group 4	0-0	2-2	7	8	D
17/10	Leioa Spain Tercera Group 4	0-2	2-2	3	6	D
10/10	SD Erandio Spain Tercera Group 4	–	2-0	–	–	W
04/10	Sodupe Spain Tercera Group 4	1-0	5-1	3	5	W
26/09	CD Touring Spain Tercera Group 4	0-2	1-2	8	3	L
19/09	Aurrera de Vitoria Spain Tercera Group 4	0-1	1-2	10	2	L
12/09	Amurrio Spain Tercera Group 4	–	3-0	–	–	W
05/09	Eibar C Spain Tercera Group 4	–	1-1	–	–	D

UD Aretxabaleta

WDDLWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Aurrera de Vitoria Spain Tercera Group 4	–	0-3	–	–	L
31/10	Amurrio Spain Tercera Group 4	–	2-1	–	–	W
25/10	Eibar C Spain Tercera Group 4	–	0-2	–	–	L
18/10	Real Union B Spain Tercera Group 4	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/10	Pasaia KE Spain Tercera Group 4	2-2	4-2	5	5	W
03/10	Lagun Onak Spain Tercera Group 4	–	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	CD Derio Spain Tercera Group 4	1-0	1-2	4	3	L
19/09	Cultural de Durango Spain Tercera Group 4	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
13/09	SD Beasain Spain Tercera Group 4	0-0	0-0	0	7	D
05/09	CD Touring Spain Tercera Group 4	0-0	1-0	1	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Alaves C vs UD Aretxabaleta?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Alaves C win (47%). Probabilities: CD Alaves C 47%, draw 26%, UD Aretxabaleta 27%.

How many goals are expected in CD Alaves C vs UD Aretxabaleta?

The model expects 2.97 goals (CD Alaves C 1.72 · UD Aretxabaleta 1.25), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Alaves C vs UD Aretxabaleta?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.