Football · Spain Tercera Group 4 · 07/11, 17:00

Prediction: Leioa vs CD Touring

Team pages: Leioa · CD Touring

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

Leioa1.44

CD Touring1.09

1X2

44% 29% 27%

Leioa Draw CD Touring

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Leioa 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WDDDWWWDWW

CD Touring 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWWDLWWD

Head-to-head

Leioa 3–3 CD Touring (6 last)

Leioa1-2CD Touring
CD Touring0-1Leioa
CD Touring2-1Leioa
Leioa0-3CD Touring
Leioa3-2CD Touring
CD Touring0-4Leioa

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Leioa	CD Touring
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1	1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0	0.4 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/33/0%	20/80/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5	2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	4.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.83

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 15:02

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.97 → 1.97	Pinn 1.97
X	3.10 → 3.00▼	Pinn 3.00
2	3.72 → 3.88▲	Pinn 3.88

See the full journey (5)

Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
06:12 +11’	1.97	3.10	3.72
07:58 +27’	2.35▲	2.85▼	3.11▼
09:54 +1’	2.21▼	2.87▲	3.37▲
11:28 +26’	2.01▼	2.90▲	3.91▲
14:05 +56’	1.97▼	3.00▲	3.88▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Leioa 3–0–3 CD Touring

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Spain Tercera - Play-Offs	Leioa	1-2 HT 0-1	CD Touring
16/05/26 Spain Tercera Group 4	CD Touring	0-1 HT 0-0	Leioa
01/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 4	CD Touring	2-1 HT 0-1	Leioa
22/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 4	Leioa	0-3	CD Touring
03/05/25 Spain Tercera Group 4	Leioa	3-2 HT 1-1	CD Touring
21/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 4	CD Touring	0-4 HT 0-2	Leioa

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Leioa	9	5	4	0	24	10	19
2	Aurrera de Vitoria	9	6	1	2	14	14	19
3	CD Derio	9	5	3	1	13	8	18
4	UD Aretxabaleta	9	5	2	2	12	8	17
5	CD Touring	9	4	3	2	10	6	15
6	Real Sociedad C	9	4	3	2	16	12	15
7	CD Alaves C	9	4	3	2	20	10	15
8	San Ignacio	9	4	2	3	16	11	14
9	Cultural de Durango	9	3	5	1	14	11	14
10	Eibar C	9	4	2	3	16	12	14
11	SD Beasain	9	3	2	4	13	13	11
12	Sodupe	9	3	2	4	6	15	11
13	Pasaia KE	9	3	1	5	12	19	10
14	Santurtzi	9	3	0	6	7	12	9
15	Lagun Onak	9	2	2	5	8	13	8
16	Real Union B	9	1	4	4	9	16	7
17	SD Erandio	9	2	0	7	8	13	6
18	Amurrio	9	0	1	8	3	18	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Leioa	CD Touring
SD Erandio	3-2 W	1-0 W
Sodupe	3-0 W	0-1 L
CD Alaves C	2-2 D	2-1 W
Aurrera de Vitoria	4-0 W	1-1 D
Lagun Onak	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Leioa (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leioa

WDDDWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	SD Erandio Spain Tercera Group 4	–	3-2	–	–	W
24/10	Sodupe Spain Tercera Group 4	–	3-0	–	–	W
17/10	CD Alaves C Spain Tercera Group 4	2-0	2-2	3	6	D
10/10	Aurrera de Vitoria Spain Tercera Group 4	–	4-0	–	–	W
04/10	Amurrio Spain Tercera Group 4	–	5-0	–	–	W
26/09	Eibar C Spain Tercera Group 4	–	2-1	–	–	W
20/09	Real Union B Spain Tercera Group 4	–	3-3	–	–	D
13/09	Pasaia KE Spain Tercera Group 4	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
05/09	Lagun Onak Spain Tercera Group 4	–	1-1	–	–	D
16/05	CD Touring Spain Tercera Group 4	0-0	1-0	5	4	W

CD Touring

LLDWWDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Lagun Onak Spain Tercera Group 4	–	0-0	–	–	D
24/10	SD Erandio Spain Tercera Group 4	–	1-0	–	–	W
17/10	CD Derio Spain Tercera Group 4	–	2-0	–	–	W
10/10	Sodupe Spain Tercera Group 4	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
03/10	Cultural de Durango Spain Tercera Group 4	–	2-2	–	–	D
26/09	CD Alaves C Spain Tercera Group 4	2-0	2-1	1	3	W
19/09	SD Beasain Spain Tercera Group 4	0-0	2-0	6	8	W
12/09	Aurrera de Vitoria Spain Tercera Group 4	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	UD Aretxabaleta Spain Tercera Group 4	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
16/05	Leioa Spain Tercera Group 4	0-0	0-1	10	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leioa vs CD Touring?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Leioa win (44%). Probabilities: Leioa 44%, draw 29%, CD Touring 27%.

How many goals are expected in Leioa vs CD Touring?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Leioa 1.44 · CD Touring 1.09), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Leioa vs CD Touring?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.